Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 18:30 •
Sportanlage Kiesbarg
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 2.35)
2.80 (league 2.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.1% | 14.7% | 67.6% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.8%
0 - 2
8.5%
1 - 3
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| ETSV Hamburg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Süderelbe | 0 | 2.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Süderelbe | ETSV Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 87% |
| Attack | 63% | 100% |
| Defense | 56% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 22 | 4.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
63%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Süderelbe | ETSV Hamburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 44% | 45% | 45% | 80% | 78% | 79% |
| Draws | 22% | 9% | 15% | 10% | 22% | 16% |
| Loses | 33% | 45% | 40% | 10% | 0% | 5% |
Form: Süderelbe: LWWDLWWLLWWLWLDWWLDL • ETSV Hamburg: WWWWWWLWWDWWWDWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Süderelbe | ETSV Hamburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 25 | 45 | 36 | 37 | 73 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| GA total | 13 | 24 | 37 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Süderelbe | ETSV Hamburg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 70% | 100% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 55% | 84% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 45% | 40% | 68% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 15% | 58% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 5% | 37% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Süderelbe | ETSV Hamburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Süderelbe | ETSV Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Süderelbe | ETSV Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-6 | 6-0 | 0-8 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Süderelbe | ETSV Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 31.5% | 68.5% |
Advice: Combo Winner : ETSV Hamburg and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Süderelbe = 1.03 (league 2.35), ETSV Hamburg = 2.80 (league 2.05)
| ETSV Hamburg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Süderelbe | 0 | 2.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.1% · Draw 14.7% · Away win 67.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1