Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 13:00 •
Edwin Imboela Stadium
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.03)
0.63 (league 0.70)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.0% | 36.2% | 24.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
22.2%
1 - 0
19.4%
0 - 1
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Nkana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Green Buffaloes | 0 | 22.2% | 14.0% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Nkana |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 100% |
| Attack | 57% | 100% |
| Defense | 43% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Nkana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 30% | 14% | 24% | 44% | 22% | 33% |
| Draws | 50% | 43% | 47% | 33% | 44% | 39% |
| Loses | 20% | 43% | 29% | 22% | 33% | 28% |
Form: Green Buffaloes: WLWLDDDLWDLDDWLDD • Nkana: DDLLDDLLLDDWDWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Nkana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 5 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 11 | 8 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Green Buffaloes | Nkana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 71% | 56% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 24% | 11% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Nkana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Nkana |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Nkana |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Green Buffaloes | Nkana |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 34.8% | 65.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nkana and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.55 @ 10Bet
Draw2.70 @ Bet365
Away3.22 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.52 @ Superbet
No1.47 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.30 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Green Buffaloes
vs
Nkana
Expected goals
0.87
Green Buffaloes xG
League Avg: 1.03
Total
1.51
0.63
Nkana xG
League Avg: 0.70
1x2 probabilities
Home
39.0%
Draw
36.2%
Away
24.8%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
22.2%
Tip
1 - 0
19.4%
Tip
0 - 1
14.0%
More chances
1.5+
49%
Chance
2.5+
34%
Chance
3.5+
24%
Chance
BTTS
54%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Green Buffaloes = 0.87 (league 1.03), Nkana = 0.63 (league 0.70)
| Nkana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Green Buffaloes | 0 | 22.2% | 14.0% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.0% · Draw 36.2% · Away win 24.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1