Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 14:00 •
VBS Community Stadium
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.65)
4.40 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.6% | 4.1% | 66.4% |
best score tips
0 - 4
10.5%
0 - 3
9.5%
0 - 5
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Birmingham City W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Crystal Palace W | 0 | 0.7% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Crystal Palace W | Birmingham City W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 44% | 81% |
| Defense | 50% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Crystal Palace W | Birmingham City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 0% | 40% | 22% | 60% | 75% | 67% |
| Draws | 75% | 20% | 44% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
| Loses | 25% | 40% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 22% |
Form: Crystal Palace W: LDWDDDLLW • Birmingham City W: WDWWLWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Crystal Palace W | Birmingham City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Crystal Palace W | Birmingham City W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 100% | 89% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 44% | 67% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 56% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 44% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Crystal Palace W | Birmingham City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Crystal Palace W | Birmingham City W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Crystal Palace W | Birmingham City W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 5-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Crystal Palace W | Birmingham City W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 15% | 85% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 36.2% | 63.8% |
Advice: Winner : Birmingham City W
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away1.80 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.83 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.72 @ Unibet
No2.10 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Crystal Palace W = 0.60 (league 1.65), Birmingham City W = 4.40 (league 1.31)
| Birmingham City W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Crystal Palace W | 0 | 0.7% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.6% · Draw 4.1% · Away win 66.4%
vtt 3 , vtd1
