Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 14:00 •
Campo Pian Scairolo
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.89)
3.03 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.0% | 15.3% | 59.5% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.5%
1 - 2
7.4%
1 - 4
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Basel II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paradiso | 0 | 1.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paradiso | Basel II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 69% | 62% |
| Defense | 15% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
78%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paradiso | Basel II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| Wins | 20% | 18% | 19% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Draws | 30% | 27% | 29% | 25% | 44% | 33% |
| Loses | 50% | 55% | 52% | 25% | 22% | 24% |
Form: Paradiso: LWDDLWLLDDLLDLLWWLDLL • Basel II: DDWDWDLLWWWDWLDLDWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Paradiso | Basel II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 14 | 36 | 26 | 17 | 43 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 25 | 27 | 52 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paradiso | Basel II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 90% | 86% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 76% | 57% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 38% | 33% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 24% | 14% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 19% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paradiso | Basel II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paradiso | Basel II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paradiso | Basel II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-3 | 5-0 | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 5-0 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 7 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paradiso | Basel II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 40.7% | 59.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Basel II
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.86 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.32 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.47 @ Pinnacle
No2.63 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Paradiso = 1.51 (league 1.89), Basel II = 3.03 (league 1.57)
| Basel II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paradiso | 0 | 1.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.0% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 59.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1
