Serie B — Italy
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:00 • Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.48) 0.58 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.1% 20.9% 10.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
2 - 0
15.1%
3 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Padova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Venezia 0 8.6% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.1% 9.4% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.1% 8.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVeneziaPadova
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack100%60%
Defense70%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Venezia Padova
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins87%40%63%20%33%27%
Draws0%47%23%47%20%33%
Loses13%13%13%33%47%40%

Form: Venezia: WDDLWDWDLWLWWWDWWWWWWWWLWWDWWD • Padova: LDLWWDLWDDDLLWDWDLWLLLDWLDWDLL

League goals

Metric Venezia Padova
HATHAT
GF total342660181331
GF avg2.31.72.01.20.91.0
GA total101525211839
GA avg0.71.00.81.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVeneziaPadova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%57%73%80%
1.567%23%27%37%
2.533%3%3%13%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVeneziaPadova
HATHAT
Clean sheets8513246
Failed to score134268

Penalties

MetricVeneziaPadova
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total94

Streaks

MetricVeneziaPadova
Wins82
Draws23
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-42-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-21-33-0
Goals For4523
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricVeneziaPadova
Form69%31%
Att63%38%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h60%40%
Goals55%45%
Total66.3%33.8%

Advice: Double chance : Venezia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.27 @ Unibet
Draw7.00 @ Bet365
Away12.28 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.62 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Venezia = 1.87 (league 1.48), Padova = 0.58 (league 1.08)

Padova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Venezia 0 8.6% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.1% 9.4% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.1% 8.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.1% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 10.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1