Venezia vs Padova

Serie B — Italy

Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:00 • Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Match Finished

Venezia

3 - 1

Padova

Expected Goals

1.86 (league 1.49) 0.58 (league 1.09)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
66.9%	21.0%	10.9%

best score tips

1 - 0

16.2%

2 - 0

15.1%

1 - 1

9.4%

Score & goals probability table

		Padova
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Venezia	0	8.7%	5.1%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	16.2%	9.4%	2.7%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	15.1%	8.7%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	9.3%	5.4%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	4.3%	2.5%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Venezia	Padova
Played	5	5
Form	73%	33%
Attack	100%	60%
Defense	70%	20%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	8 \| 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%

FT probability

2.5+

51%

FT probability

3.5+

36%

FT probability

BTTS

67%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Venezia			Padova
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	15	15	30	15	15	30
Wins	87%	40%	63%	20%	33%	27%
Draws	0%	47%	23%	47%	20%	33%
Loses	13%	13%	13%	33%	47%	40%

Form: Venezia: WDDLWDWDLWLWWWDWWWWWWWWLWWDWWD • Padova: LDLWWDLWDDDLLWDWDLWLLLDWLDWDLL

League goals

Metric	Venezia			Padova
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	34	26	60	18	13	31
GF avg	2.3	1.7	2.0	1.2	0.9	1.0
GA total	10	15	25	21	18	39
GA avg	0.7	1.0	0.8	1.4	1.2	1.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Venezia		Padova
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	87%	57%	73%	80%
1.5	67%	23%	27%	37%
2.5	33%	3%	3%	13%
3.5	10%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	3%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Venezia			Padova
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	8	5	13	2	4	6
Failed to score	1	3	4	2	6	8

Penalties

Metric	Venezia	Padova
Scored (total \| %)	9 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	9	4

Streaks

Metric	Venezia	Padova
Wins	8	2
Draws	2	3
Losses	1	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	0-4	2-0	1-2
Biggest losses	0-2	3-2	1-3	3-0
Goals For	4	5	2	3
Goals Against	2	3	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Venezia	Padova
Form	69%	31%
Att	63%	38%
Def	73%	27%
Poisson Distribution	78%	22%
H2h	60%	40%
Goals	55%	45%
Total	66.3%	33.8%

Advice: Double chance : Venezia or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.27 @ Unibet

Draw7.00 @ Bet365

Away12.28 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Under 2.52.62 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365

No1.83 @ William Hill

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Venezia vs Padova

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Venezia

Padova

Serie B • Italy • Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:00 • Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Expected goals

1.86

Venezia xG League Avg: 1.49

Total

2.44

0.58

Padova xG League Avg: 1.09

1x2 probabilities

Home

66.9%

Draw

21.0%

Away

10.9%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 0

16.2%

Tip

2 - 0

15.1%

Tip

1 - 1

9.4%

More chances

1.5+

73%

Chance

2.5+

51%

Chance

3.5+

36%

Chance

BTTS

67%

Chance

🟨 Cards

1 - 4

Exp.

#Venezia #Padova #SerieB #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Venezia = 1.86 (league 1.49), Padova = 0.58 (league 1.09)

		Padova
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Venezia	0	8.7%	5.1%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	16.2%	9.4%	2.7%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	15.1%	8.7%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	9.3%	5.4%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	4.3%	2.5%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.9% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 10.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Venezia	Padova
Scored (total \| %)	9 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	9	4