Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 12:00 •
Complexo Desportivo Laranjeiras
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.44)
0.83 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.3% | 23.3% | 17.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.2%
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Estrela U23 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Clara U23 | 0 | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santa Clara U23 | Estrela U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 47% | 20% |
| Defense | 60% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santa Clara U23 | Estrela U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 50% | 71% | 62% | 17% | 14% | 15% |
| Draws | 17% | 0% | 8% | 17% | 43% | 31% |
| Loses | 33% | 29% | 31% | 67% | 43% | 54% |
Form: Santa Clara U23: WWWLWWDLWLLWW • Estrela U23: LDWLLDLDLDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Santa Clara U23 | Estrela U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santa Clara U23 | Estrela U23 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 54% | 69% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 31% | 23% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 8% | 8% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santa Clara U23 | Estrela U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santa Clara U23 | Estrela U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 66.67% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 33.33% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santa Clara U23 | Estrela U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santa Clara U23 | Estrela U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 58.7% | 41.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Santa Clara U23 or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Santa Clara U23 = 1.75 (league 1.44), Estrela U23 = 0.83 (league 1.25)
| Estrela U23 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Clara U23 | 0 | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.3% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 17.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1