Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 12:00 • Complexo Desportivo Laranjeiras
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.45) 0.84 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.8% 23.4% 17.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.2%
2 - 0
11.5%
1 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Estrela U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Clara U23 0 7.6% 6.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.2% 11.1% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta Clara U23Estrela U23
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack47%20%
Defense60%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Clara U23 Estrela U23
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins50%71%62%17%14%15%
Draws17%0%8%17%43%31%
Loses33%29%31%67%43%54%

Form: Santa Clara U23: WWWLWWDLWLLWW • Estrela U23: LDWLLDLDLDLWL

League goals

Metric Santa Clara U23 Estrela U23
HATHAT
GF total710174913
GF avg1.21.41.30.71.31.0
GA total571291524
GA avg0.81.00.91.52.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta Clara U23Estrela U23
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%54%69%85%
1.538%31%23%54%
2.58%8%8%31%
3.50%0%0%15%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta Clara U23Estrela U23
HATHAT
Clean sheets336112
Failed to score112314

Penalties

MetricSanta Clara U23Estrela U23
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 66.67%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 33.33%
Total13

Streaks

MetricSanta Clara U23Estrela U23
Wins31
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-11-34-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricSanta Clara U23Estrela U23
Form69%31%
Att70%30%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : Santa Clara U23 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ 188Bet
Away5.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santa Clara U23 = 1.74 (league 1.45), Estrela U23 = 0.84 (league 1.24)

Estrela U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Clara U23 0 7.6% 6.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.2% 11.1% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.8% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 17.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1