Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 17:30 •
Estádio Municipal do Marco de Canaveses
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.23)
0.94 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.5% | 27.4% | 25.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Paredes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AD Marco 09 | 0 | 9.8% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AD Marco 09 | Paredes |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 67% | 58% |
| Defense | 33% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AD Marco 09 | Paredes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 43% | 0% | 20% | 38% | 14% | 27% |
| Draws | 57% | 38% | 47% | 63% | 43% | 53% |
| Loses | 0% | 63% | 33% | 0% | 43% | 20% |
Form: AD Marco 09: DDDWDDLDLLWDLWL • Paredes: LDDDDDWLDWLDDWW
League goals
| Metric | AD Marco 09 | Paredes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AD Marco 09 | Paredes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 67% | 60% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 33% | 40% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 7% | 13% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AD Marco 09 | Paredes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | AD Marco 09 | Paredes |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | AD Marco 09 | Paredes |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AD Marco 09 | Paredes |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
Advice: Double chance : AD Marco 09 or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.01 @ Pinnacle
Away2.38 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.75 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.18 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
AD Marco 09
vs
Paredes
Expected goals
1.37
AD Marco 09 xG
League Avg: 1.23
Total
2.32
0.94
Paredes xG
League Avg: 1.05
1x2 probabilities
Home
46.5%
Draw
27.4%
Away
25.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
13.5%
Tip
1 - 1
12.8%
Tip
0 - 0
9.8%
More chances
1.5+
60%
Chance
2.5+
42%
Chance
3.5+
30%
Chance
BTTS
62%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): AD Marco 09 = 1.37 (league 1.23), Paredes = 0.94 (league 1.05)
| Paredes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AD Marco 09 | 0 | 9.8% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.5% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 25.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1