Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 17:00 •
Stade Lestonan 1
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.17)
2.14 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.6% | 20.8% | 49.9% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 1
8.4%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Alençon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ergué-Gaberic | 0 | 2.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ergué-Gaberic | Alençon |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 33% |
| Attack | 43% | 36% |
| Defense | 79% | 14% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ergué-Gaberic | Alençon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 11% | 44% | 28% | 22% | 22% | 22% |
| Draws | 33% | 22% | 28% | 44% | 33% | 39% |
| Loses | 56% | 33% | 44% | 33% | 44% | 39% |
Form: Ergué-Gaberic: LLLLDLDLWWLLDWDWDW • Alençon: DWWLLWDLLLDDDLDDWL
League goals
| Metric | Ergué-Gaberic | Alençon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 17 | 12 | 29 | 20 | 20 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ergué-Gaberic | Alençon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 83% | 78% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 44% | 44% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 17% | 39% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 11% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ergué-Gaberic | Alençon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ergué-Gaberic | Alençon |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ergué-Gaberic | Alençon |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-3 | 4-3 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 2-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ergué-Gaberic | Alençon |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 60.4% | 39.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Ergué-Gaberic or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Ergué-Gaberic
vs
Alençon
Expected goals
1.51
Ergué-Gaberic xG
League Avg: 1.17
Total
3.65
2.14
Alençon xG
League Avg: 1.15
1x2 probabilities
Home
26.6%
Draw
20.8%
Away
49.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
9.0%
Tip
1 - 1
8.4%
Tip
2 - 2
6.8%
More chances
1.5+
90%
Chance
2.5+
63%
Chance
3.5+
45%
Chance
BTTS
75%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Ergué-Gaberic = 1.51 (league 1.17), Alençon = 2.14 (league 1.15)
| Alençon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ergué-Gaberic | 0 | 2.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.6% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 49.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1