Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadion Schützenmatte
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.63)
1.68 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.1% | 21.1% | 31.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Besa Biel/Bienne | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Old Boys | 0 | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Old Boys carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 25 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Old Boys -24.7, Besa Biel/Bienne -28.0.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Old Boys
vs
Besa Biel/Bienne
Elo gapOld Boys +25
Home / draw / away39% / 27% / 34%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo2883.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2883.4
Elo home share
54%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Old Boys | Besa Biel/Bienne |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1436.6 | 1446.8 |
| Form Elo | 1410.7 | 1425.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1471.7 | 1468.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1535.8 | 1439.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1358.4 | 1363.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -24.7 | -28.0 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Old Boys last-5 Elo change: -24.7; Besa Biel/Bienne last-5 Elo change: -28.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Old Boys | Besa Biel/Bienne |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 7% |
| Attack | 23% | 31% |
| Defense | 15% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Old Boys | Besa Biel/Bienne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 17% | 17% | 17% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Draws | 17% | 8% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Loses | 67% | 75% | 71% | 50% | 58% | 54% |
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Besa Biel/BienneLLWLLWWLWWLWLDWLDDLLLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Old Boys | Besa Biel/Bienne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 14 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 30 | 33 | 63 | 23 | 29 | 52 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Old Boys | Besa Biel/Bienne | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 96% | 71% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 79% | 33% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 46% | 17% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 25% | 8% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 17% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Old Boys | Besa Biel/Bienne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Old Boys | Besa Biel/Bienne |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Old Boys | Besa Biel/Bienne |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 2-5 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-0 | 1-5 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Old Boys | Besa Biel/Bienne |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 35% | 65% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Old Boys
vs
Besa Biel/Bienne
Expected goals
2.06
Old Boys xG
League Avg: 1.63
Total
3.74
1.68
Besa Biel/Bienne xG
League Avg: 1.49
1x2 probabilities
Home
45.1%
Draw
21.1%
Away
31.2%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
8.5%
Tip
1 - 1
8.2%
Tip
2 - 2
7.1%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
74%
Chance
3.5+
53%
Chance
BTTS
78%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Old Boys = 2.06 (league 1.63), Besa Biel/Bienne = 1.68 (league 1.49)
| Besa Biel/Bienne | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Old Boys | 0 | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 31.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1