Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio O Couto
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.42)
0.59 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.8% | 16.3% | 8.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
14.7%
1 - 0
12.9%
3 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Sámano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Ourense | 0 | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.1% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD Ourense | Sámano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 42% | 32% |
| Defense | 53% | 32% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD Ourense | Sámano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 46% | 36% | 41% | 21% | 0% | 11% |
| Draws | 31% | 29% | 30% | 14% | 31% | 22% |
| Loses | 23% | 36% | 30% | 64% | 69% | 67% |
Form: UD Ourense: LDLLDDWWWDWWWLLWDWWWDDLDLWL • Sámano: LLDLLDWLWDLLDLLLDLLLLLLDLLW
League goals
| Metric | UD Ourense | Sámano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 14 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 12 | 15 | 27 | 25 | 35 | 60 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD Ourense | Sámano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 67% | 56% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 22% | 19% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD Ourense | Sámano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD Ourense | Sámano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD Ourense | Sámano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-5 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD Ourense | Sámano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 57.7% | 42.3% |
Advice: Double chance : UD Ourense or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.26 @ Unibet
Draw5.63 @ Pinnacle
Away15.50 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.65 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.46 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
UD Ourense
vs
Sámano
Expected goals
2.28
UD Ourense xG
League Avg: 1.42
Total
2.87
0.59
Sámano xG
League Avg: 1.07
1x2 probabilities
Home
72.8%
Draw
16.3%
Away
8.0%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
14.7%
Tip
1 - 0
12.9%
Tip
3 - 0
11.2%
More chances
1.5+
75%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): UD Ourense = 2.26 (league 1.43), Sámano = 0.59 (league 1.07)
| Sámano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Ourense | 0 | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.1% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.7% · Draw 16.5% · Away win 8.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1