Real Jaén vs Málaga II

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 — Spain

Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 17:00 • Nuevo Estadio La Victoria

Match Finished

Real Jaén

3 - 0

Málaga II

Expected Goals

1.30 (league 1.23) 1.29 (league 0.91)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
36.8%	26.5%	36.2%

best score tips

1 - 1

12.6%

1 - 0

9.8%

0 - 1

9.7%

Score & goals probability table

		Málaga II
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Real Jaén	0	7.6%	9.7%	6.2%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
	1	9.8%	12.6%	8.1%	3.5%	1.1%	0.3%
	2	6.4%	8.2%	5.2%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
	3	2.8%	3.5%	2.3%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
	4	0.9%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Real Jaén	Málaga II
Played	5	5
Form	27%	0%
Attack	60%	40%
Defense	0%	0%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	2 \| 0.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	9 \| 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%

FT probability

2.5+

46%

FT probability

3.5+

33%

FT probability

BTTS

72%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Real Jaén			Málaga II
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	7	9	16	8	8	16
Wins	43%	22%	31%	13%	0%	6%
Draws	14%	44%	31%	13%	25%	19%
Loses	43%	33%	38%	75%	75%	75%

Form: Real Jaén: DLWWWDDWDLLWLLLD • Málaga II: LLDDLLLLLWDLLLLL

League goals

Metric	Real Jaén			Málaga II
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	7	8	15	3	7	10
GF avg	1.0	0.9	0.9	0.4	0.9	0.6
GA total	9	11	20	13	13	26
GA avg	1.3	1.2	1.3	1.6	1.6	1.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Real Jaén		Málaga II
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	56%	94%	56%	88%
1.5	31%	25%	6%	50%
2.5	6%	6%	0%	25%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Real Jaén			Málaga II
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	1	1	2	0	2
Failed to score	3	4	7	5	2	7

Penalties

Metric	Real Jaén	Málaga II
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	0

Streaks

Metric	Real Jaén	Málaga II
Wins	3	1
Draws	2	2
Losses	3	5

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	2-3	1-0	—
Biggest losses	0-3	2-0	0-3	3-2
Goals For	2	3	1	2
Goals Against	3	2	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Real Jaén	Málaga II
Form	100%	0%
Att	60%	40%
Def	53%	47%
Poisson Distribution	55%	45%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	23%	77%
Total	47.8%	52.3%

Advice: Double chance : Real Jaén or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Unibet

Draw3.15 @ 188Bet

Away4.40 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair

No1.68 @ Pinnacle

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Real Jaén vs Málaga II

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Real Jaén

Málaga II

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 • Spain • Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 17:00 • Nuevo Estadio La Victoria

Expected goals

1.30

Real Jaén xG League Avg: 1.23

Total

2.59

1.29

Málaga II xG League Avg: 0.91

1x2 probabilities

Home

36.8%

Draw

26.5%

Away

36.2%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 1

12.6%

Tip

1 - 0

9.8%

Tip

0 - 1

9.7%

More chances

1.5+

66%

Chance

2.5+

46%

Chance

3.5+

33%

Chance

BTTS

72%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#RealJaén #MálagaIi #SegundaDivisiónRfefGroup4 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Real Jaén = 1.30 (league 1.24), Málaga II = 1.28 (league 0.91)

		Málaga II
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Real Jaén	0	7.6%	9.7%	6.2%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
	1	9.8%	12.6%	8.1%	3.5%	1.1%	0.3%
	2	6.4%	8.2%	5.2%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
	3	2.8%	3.5%	2.3%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
	4	0.9%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.8% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 36.2%

vtt 3 , vtd1

Metric	Real Jaén	Málaga II
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	0