Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:30 •
Estadio Juan Cayuela
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.23)
0.66 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.3% | 27.1% | 17.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.7%
2 - 0
12.6%
0 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Estepona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Unión Atlético | 0 | 12.6% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 11.7% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | La Unión Atlético | Estepona |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 7% |
| Attack | 100% | 60% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | La Unión Atlético | Estepona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 29% | 13% |
| Draws | 25% | 25% | 25% | 22% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 78% | 71% | 75% |
Form: La Unión Atlético: DDWWDWLLWLWWWLDW • Estepona: DLLWLWLLLLLLLLLD
League goals
| Metric | La Unión Atlético | Estepona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 10 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | La Unión Atlético | Estepona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 63% | 63% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 6% | 13% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 0% | 6% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | La Unión Atlético | Estepona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | La Unión Atlético | Estepona |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | La Unión Atlético | Estepona |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 9 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | — | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | La Unión Atlético | Estepona |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 91% | 9% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 70.5% | 29.5% |
Advice: Double chance : La Unión Atlético or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.70 @ Bet365
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away6.10 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.55 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.48 @ 188Bet
No1.58 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
La Unión Atlético
vs
Estepona
Expected goals
1.43
La Unión Atlético xG
League Avg: 1.23
Total
2.09
0.66
Estepona xG
League Avg: 0.91
1x2 probabilities
Home
55.3%
Draw
27.1%
Away
17.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
17.7%
Tip
2 - 0
12.6%
Tip
0 - 0
12.4%
More chances
1.5+
62%
Chance
2.5+
44%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
61%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): La Unión Atlético = 1.42 (league 1.24), Estepona = 0.66 (league 0.92)
| Estepona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Unión Atlético | 0 | 12.6% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 11.7% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.2% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 17.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1