Mon, Jan 12 2026 • 17:30 •
Kingdom Arena
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.68)
1.73 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.2% | 23.5% | 45.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Al-Nassr | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 0 | 4.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al-Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 60% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al-Nassr | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 86% | 83% | 85% | 86% | 67% | 77% |
| Draws | 14% | 17% | 15% | 0% | 17% | 8% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 17% | 15% |
Form: Al-Hilal Saudi FC: WDDWWWWWWWWWW • Al-Nassr: WWWWWWWWWWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al-Nassr | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 19 | 35 | 22 | 16 | 38 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 2.9 |
| GA total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al-Nassr | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 54% | 100% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 92% | 31% | 92% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 54% | 8% | 46% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 0% | 31% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 23% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al-Nassr | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al-Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al-Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 5-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al-Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68% | 32% |
| Att | 52% | 48% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 56.3% | 43.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.15 @ Betfair
Draw4.40 @ Betano
Away3.16 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.36 @ Betfair
Under 2.53.77 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.36 @ Betfair
No3.59 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al-Hilal Saudi FC = 1.37 (league 1.68), Al-Nassr = 1.73 (league 1.41)
| Al-Nassr | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 0 | 4.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.2% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 45.2%
vtt 2 , vtd1
