Mon, Jan 12 2026 • 17:30 • Kingdom Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.67) 1.70 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.9% 23.7% 44.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Nassr
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0 4.6% 7.9% 6.7% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
1 6.4% 10.8% 9.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.4% 7.4% 6.3% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.0% 3.4% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Nassr
Played55
Form100%47%
Attack100%100%
Defense60%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Nassr
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins86%83%85%86%67%77%
Draws14%17%15%0%17%8%
Loses0%0%0%14%17%15%

Form: Al-Hilal Saudi FC: WDDWWWWWWWWWW • Al-Nassr: WWWWWWWWWWDLL

League goals

Metric Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Nassr
HATHAT
GF total161935221638
GF avg2.33.22.73.12.72.9
GA total66126612
GA avg0.91.00.90.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Nassr
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%54%100%62%
1.592%31%92%23%
2.554%8%46%8%
3.515%0%31%0%
4.58%0%23%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Nassr
HATHAT
Clean sheets336235
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAl-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Nassr
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricAl-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Nassr
Wins110
Draws21
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-55-10-5
Biggest losses——1-23-2
Goals For3555
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricAl-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Nassr
Form68%32%
Att52%48%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total56.3%43.7%

Advice: Double chance : Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Betfair
Draw4.40 @ Betano
Away3.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Betfair
Under 2.53.77 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.36 @ Betfair
No3.59 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Hilal Saudi FC = 1.37 (league 1.67), Al-Nassr = 1.70 (league 1.43)

Al-Nassr
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0 4.6% 7.9% 6.7% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
1 6.4% 10.8% 9.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.4% 7.4% 6.3% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.0% 3.4% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.9% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 44.4%

vtt 2 , vtd1