Staphorst vs DVS 33 Ermelo

Derde Divisie - Saturday — Netherlands

Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 13:30 • Sportpark Het Noorderslag

Match Finished

Staphorst

4 - 1

DVS 33 Ermelo

Expected Goals

1.55 (league 1.76) 1.00 (league 1.55)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
49.5%	25.5%	24.4%

best score tips

1 - 1

12.1%

1 - 0

12.1%

2 - 1

9.4%

Score & goals probability table

		DVS 33 Ermelo
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Staphorst	0	7.8%	7.8%	3.9%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
	1	12.1%	12.1%	6.1%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
	2	9.3%	9.4%	4.7%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
	3	4.8%	4.8%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	1.9%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.6%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Staphorst	DVS 33 Ermelo
Played	5	5
Form	13%	53%
Attack	90%	90%
Defense	0%	20%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	9 \| 1.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	13 \| 2.6	8 \| 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%

FT probability

2.5+

60%

FT probability

3.5+

43%

FT probability

BTTS

71%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Staphorst			DVS 33 Ermelo
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	12	13	25	12	13	25
Wins	58%	46%	52%	58%	38%	48%
Draws	17%	15%	16%	33%	31%	32%
Loses	25%	38%	32%	8%	31%	20%

Form: Staphorst: WLWLWWWWLWWWWWWLDLWDDLDLL • DVS 33 Ermelo: DDWWWWDWWLDLWDLWWDWLLDWDW

League goals

Metric	Staphorst			DVS 33 Ermelo
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	25	24	49	24	17	41
GF avg	2.1	1.8	2.0	2.0	1.3	1.6
GA total	14	22	36	10	17	27
GA avg	1.2	1.7	1.4	0.8	1.3	1.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Staphorst		DVS 33 Ermelo
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	84%	80%	84%	56%
1.5	60%	44%	48%	40%
2.5	36%	20%	28%	8%
3.5	12%	0%	4%	4%
4.5	4%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Staphorst			DVS 33 Ermelo
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	2	5	5	6	11
Failed to score	2	2	4	1	3	4

Penalties

Metric	Staphorst	DVS 33 Ermelo
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Staphorst	DVS 33 Ermelo
Wins	6	4
Draws	2	2
Losses	1	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	5-1	1-4	3-0	0-2
Biggest losses	1-3	3-1	1-2	3-0
Goals For	5	4	4	3
Goals Against	3	3	2	4

Model comparison

Metric	Staphorst	DVS 33 Ermelo
Form	20%	80%
Att	50%	50%
Def	38%	62%
Poisson Distribution	60%	40%
H2h	29%	71%
Goals	31%	69%
Total	38.0%	62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or DVS 33 Ermelo

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Staphorst vs DVS 33 Ermelo

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Staphorst

DVS 33 Ermelo

Derde Divisie - Saturday • Netherlands • Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 13:30 • Sportpark Het Noorderslag

Expected goals

1.55

Staphorst xG League Avg: 1.76

Total

2.55

1.00

DVS 33 Ermelo xG League Avg: 1.55

1x2 probabilities

Home

49.5%

Draw

25.5%

Away

24.4%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 1

12.1%

Tip

1 - 0

12.1%

Tip

2 - 1

9.4%

More chances

1.5+

86%

Chance

2.5+

60%

Chance

3.5+

43%

Chance

BTTS

71%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#Staphorst #Dvs33Ermelo #DerdeDivisieSaturday #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Staphorst = 1.55 (league 1.76), DVS 33 Ermelo = 1.00 (league 1.55)

		DVS 33 Ermelo
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Staphorst	0	7.8%	7.8%	3.9%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
	1	12.1%	12.1%	6.1%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
	2	9.3%	9.4%	4.7%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
	3	4.8%	4.8%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	1.9%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.6%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 24.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Staphorst	DVS 33 Ermelo
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0