Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 18:30 •
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.28)
0.86 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.3% | 28.7% | 24.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Cittadella | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union Brescia | 0 | 11.7% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 12.9% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Union Brescia | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 8% | 54% |
| Defense | 85% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Union Brescia | Cittadella | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 47% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 47% |
| Draws | 29% | 41% | 35% | 35% | 12% | 24% |
| Loses | 24% | 12% | 18% | 18% | 41% | 29% |
Form: Union Brescia: LWWWWDDDWWWWLDDDLWWWWDLWDWLWWLDDDD • Cittadella: DWLLLLDDWWWWWWWDLDWWLDLLWLWWDDWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Union Brescia | Cittadella | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 18 | 44 | 24 | 18 | 42 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 14 | 8 | 22 | 17 | 19 | 36 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Union Brescia | Cittadella | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 53% | 74% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 12% | 38% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 0% | 9% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Union Brescia | Cittadella | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Union Brescia | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Union Brescia | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Union Brescia | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 13% | 88% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Union Brescia or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.03 @ SBO
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away3.97 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.08 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Union Brescia
vs
Cittadella
Expected goals
1.29
Union Brescia xG
League Avg: 1.28
Total
2.14
0.86
Cittadella xG
League Avg: 1.03
1x2 probabilities
Home
46.3%
Draw
28.7%
Away
24.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
15.1%
Tip
1 - 1
12.9%
Tip
0 - 0
11.7%
More chances
1.5+
62%
Chance
2.5+
44%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
63%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Union Brescia = 1.29 (league 1.28), Cittadella = 0.86 (league 1.03)
| Cittadella | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union Brescia | 0 | 11.7% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 12.9% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.3% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 24.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1