Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 14:00 •
Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.29)
1.37 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.3% | 23.4% | 30.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Qabala | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sumqayıt | 0 | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sumqayıt | Qabala |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 20% |
| Attack | 36% | 55% |
| Defense | 9% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sumqayıt | Qabala | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| Wins | 31% | 29% | 30% | 23% | 14% | 19% |
| Draws | 15% | 21% | 19% | 8% | 21% | 15% |
| Loses | 54% | 50% | 52% | 69% | 64% | 67% |
Form: Sumqayıt: WWDLLDLWLWWLWWDLLWLLDLDLLLL • Qabala: DLLLWLLDLLLLWLLWWLLDLDLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Sumqayıt | Qabala | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 14 | 32 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 23 | 18 | 41 | 21 | 22 | 43 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sumqayıt | Qabala | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 78% | 52% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 44% | 26% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 26% | 11% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sumqayıt | Qabala | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sumqayıt | Qabala |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sumqayıt | Qabala |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sumqayıt | Qabala |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 52.8% | 47.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Sumqayıt or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.40 @ William Hill
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.95 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.80 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Sumqayıt
vs
Qabala
Expected goals
1.74
Sumqayıt xG
League Avg: 1.29
Total
3.11
1.37
Qabala xG
League Avg: 1.18
1x2 probabilities
Home
45.3%
Draw
23.4%
Away
30.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
10.7%
Tip
2 - 1
9.2%
Tip
1 - 0
7.8%
More chances
1.5+
78%
Chance
2.5+
55%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Sumqayıt = 1.74 (league 1.29), Qabala = 1.37 (league 1.18)
| Qabala | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sumqayıt | 0 | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 30.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1