Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi
Expected Goals
1.92 (league 1.35)
1.34 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.8% | 22.2% | 26.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Breno | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castellanzese | 0 | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castellanzese | Breno |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 57% | 57% |
| Defense | 43% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castellanzese | Breno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 44% | 25% | 35% | 38% | 22% | 29% |
| Draws | 33% | 38% | 35% | 50% | 22% | 35% |
| Loses | 22% | 38% | 29% | 13% | 56% | 35% |
Form: Castellanzese: DDLDWWLLWWDDLDWLW • Breno: DDDWDLWWDLLLDWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Castellanzese | Breno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 14 | 26 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 9 | 9 | 18 | 7 | 18 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castellanzese | Breno | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 59% | 71% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 41% | 53% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 6% | 6% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castellanzese | Breno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castellanzese | Breno |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castellanzese | Breno |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-8 | 2-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 8 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castellanzese | Breno |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 53.3% | 46.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Castellanzese or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.30 @ Superbet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.00 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.64 @ Superbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ Superbet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Castellanzese
vs
Breno
Expected goals
1.92
Castellanzese xG
League Avg: 1.35
Total
3.26
1.34
Breno xG
League Avg: 1.20
1x2 probabilities
Home
49.8%
Draw
22.2%
Away
26.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
9.9%
Tip
2 - 1
9.5%
Tip
1 - 0
7.4%
More chances
1.5+
81%
Chance
2.5+
57%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Castellanzese = 1.92 (league 1.35), Breno = 1.34 (league 1.20)
| Breno | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castellanzese | 0 | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.8% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 26.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1