Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.39) 1.32 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.1% 22.6% 26.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Breno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellanzese 0 4.2% 5.5% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.7% 10.2% 6.7% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.2% 9.5% 6.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.5% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastellanzeseBreno
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack57%57%
Defense43%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castellanzese Breno
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins44%25%35%38%22%29%
Draws33%38%35%50%22%35%
Loses22%38%29%13%56%35%

Form: Castellanzese: DDLDWWLLWWDDLDWLW • Breno: DDDWDLWWDLLLDWLWL

League goals

Metric Castellanzese Breno
HATHAT
GF total121426101424
GF avg1.31.81.51.31.61.4
GA total991871825
GA avg1.01.11.10.92.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastellanzeseBreno
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%59%71%76%
1.535%41%53%53%
2.518%6%6%12%
3.56%0%6%6%
4.56%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastellanzeseBreno
HATHAT
Clean sheets347314
Failed to score325325

Penalties

MetricCastellanzeseBreno
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricCastellanzeseBreno
Wins22
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-82-02-5
Biggest losses1-23-10-14-0
Goals For3825
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricCastellanzeseBreno
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Double chance : Castellanzese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Superbet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.64 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castellanzese = 1.87 (league 1.39), Breno = 1.32 (league 1.22)

Breno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellanzese 0 4.2% 5.5% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.7% 10.2% 6.7% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.2% 9.5% 6.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.5% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.1% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 26.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1