Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 13:00 •
Campo Sportivo Comunale
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.35)
0.83 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.0% | 26.9% | 21.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Pavia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| USD Casatese | 0 | 10.3% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 12.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | USD Casatese | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 88% | 63% |
| Defense | 63% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | USD Casatese | Pavia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 40% | 44% | 42% | 25% | 27% | 26% |
| Draws | 33% | 50% | 42% | 31% | 33% | 32% |
| Loses | 27% | 6% | 16% | 44% | 40% | 42% |
Form: USD Casatese: DLDDWWWDDWDWWWDDDLDDWLWWDDLLWWW • Pavia: LLWLLLLDDWDDLLDDLLWDDLLWWDDWWLW
League goals
| Metric | USD Casatese | Pavia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 25 | 44 | 17 | 15 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 15 | 13 | 28 | 21 | 23 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | USD Casatese | Pavia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 65% | 71% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 19% | 23% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 6% | 6% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | USD Casatese | Pavia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | USD Casatese | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | USD Casatese | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | 2-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | USD Casatese | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Advice: Double chance : USD Casatese or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.93 @ Unibet
Draw3.25 @ 1xBet
Away4.00 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.14 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.61 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.98 @ 1xBet
No1.79 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
USD Casatese
vs
Pavia
Expected goals
1.44
USD Casatese xG
League Avg: 1.35
Total
2.28
0.83
Pavia xG
League Avg: 1.20
1x2 probabilities
Home
51.0%
Draw
26.9%
Away
21.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
14.8%
Tip
1 - 1
12.3%
Tip
2 - 0
10.7%
More chances
1.5+
68%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): USD Casatese = 1.44 (league 1.35), Pavia = 0.83 (league 1.20)
| Pavia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| USD Casatese | 0 | 10.3% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 12.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.0% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 21.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1