Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.26) 0.29 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.4% 31.3% 9.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.0%
0 - 0
22.7%
2 - 0
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Seravezza 0 22.7% 6.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.0% 7.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSeravezzaSan Donato Tavarnelle
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack54%38%
Defense85%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Seravezza San Donato Tavarnelle
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins100%25%63%38%38%38%
Draws0%50%25%38%38%38%
Loses0%25%13%25%25%25%

Form: Seravezza: WWWLWLWDWDWDWWWD • San Donato Tavarnelle: WDWWDLDWWLLWDDDL

League goals

Metric Seravezza San Donato Tavarnelle
HATHAT
GF total1210228816
GF avg1.51.31.41.01.01.0
GA total210127815
GA avg0.31.30.80.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSeravezzaSan Donato Tavarnelle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%50%69%75%
1.544%19%25%13%
2.50%6%6%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSeravezzaSan Donato Tavarnelle
HATHAT
Clean sheets628224
Failed to score011325

Penalties

MetricSeravezzaSan Donato Tavarnelle
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSeravezzaSan Donato Tavarnelle
Wins32
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-10-2
Biggest losses—2-00-23-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricSeravezzaSan Donato Tavarnelle
Form65%35%
Att58%42%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total66.8%33.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Seravezza or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Unibet
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away5.57 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ William Hill
No1.60 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Seravezza = 1.19 (league 1.26), San Donato Tavarnelle = 0.29 (league 1.02)

San Donato Tavarnelle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Seravezza 0 22.7% 6.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.0% 7.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.4% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 9.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1