Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.25)
0.29 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.7% | 31.1% | 9.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
27.0%
0 - 0
22.5%
2 - 0
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
| San Donato Tavarnelle | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Seravezza | 0 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.0% | 7.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.2% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Seravezza | San Donato Tavarnelle |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 40% |
| Attack | 54% | 38% |
| Defense | 85% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Seravezza | San Donato Tavarnelle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 100% | 25% | 63% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Form: Seravezza: WWWLWLWDWDWDWWWD • San Donato Tavarnelle: WDWWDLDWWLLWDDDL
League goals
| Metric | Seravezza | San Donato Tavarnelle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Seravezza | San Donato Tavarnelle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 94% | 50% | 69% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Seravezza | San Donato Tavarnelle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Seravezza | San Donato Tavarnelle |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Seravezza | San Donato Tavarnelle |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Seravezza | San Donato Tavarnelle |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 66.8% | 33.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Seravezza or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.72 @ Unibet
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away5.57 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ William Hill
No1.60 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Seravezza = 1.20 (league 1.25), San Donato Tavarnelle = 0.29 (league 1.02)
| San Donato Tavarnelle | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Seravezza | 0 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.0% | 7.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.2% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.7% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 9.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1
