Afragolese vs Real Acerrana

Serie D - Girone H — Italy

Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Luigi Moccia

Match Finished

Afragolese

5 - 2

Real Acerrana

Expected Goals

2.45 (league 1.41) 0.45 (league 0.97)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
77.6%	13.5%	5.1%

best score tips

2 - 0

16.5%

3 - 0

13.5%

1 - 0

13.4%

Score & goals probability table

		Real Acerrana
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Afragolese	0	5.5%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	13.4%	6.1%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	16.5%	7.5%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	13.5%	6.1%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	8.2%	3.7%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	4.0%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Afragolese	Real Acerrana
Played	5	5
Form	53%	20%
Attack	31%	31%
Defense	77%	54%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	4 \| 0.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	6 \| 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%

FT probability

2.5+

52%

FT probability

3.5+

37%

FT probability

BTTS

64%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Afragolese			Real Acerrana
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	12	13	25	12	13	25
Wins	58%	31%	44%	25%	0%	12%
Draws	17%	31%	24%	17%	23%	20%
Loses	25%	38%	32%	58%	77%	68%

Form: Afragolese: LLDWWWLWWWLWDWDLLLWDWWDDL • Real Acerrana: LDDLDLLLLLLLLWDLLDWLLLLLW

League goals

Metric	Afragolese			Real Acerrana
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	18	16	34	9	5	14
GF avg	1.5	1.2	1.4	0.8	0.4	0.6
GA total	13	16	29	18	30	48
GA avg	1.1	1.2	1.2	1.5	2.3	1.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Afragolese		Real Acerrana
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	72%	64%	40%	92%
1.5	44%	40%	8%	40%
2.5	16%	12%	4%	28%
3.5	4%	0%	4%	24%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Afragolese			Real Acerrana
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	6	3	9	2	0	2
Failed to score	2	5	7	7	8	15

Penalties

Metric	Afragolese	Real Acerrana
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	3

Streaks

Metric	Afragolese	Real Acerrana
Wins	3	1
Draws	2	2
Losses	3	8

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-0	0-4	4-2	—
Biggest losses	2-3	3-0	0-4	6-1
Goals For	3	4	4	1
Goals Against	3	3	4	6

Model comparison

Metric	Afragolese	Real Acerrana
Form	73%	27%
Att	50%	50%
Def	67%	33%
Poisson Distribution	86%	14%
H2h	100%	0%
Goals	100%	0%
Total	69.0%	31.0%

Advice: Double chance : Afragolese or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Afragolese vs Real Acerrana

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Afragolese

Real Acerrana

Serie D - Girone H • Italy • Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Luigi Moccia

Expected goals

2.45

Afragolese xG League Avg: 1.41

Total

2.91

0.45

Real Acerrana xG League Avg: 0.97

1x2 probabilities

Home

77.6%

Draw

13.5%

Away

5.1%

Best score tips

Tip

2 - 0

16.5%

Tip

3 - 0

13.5%

Tip

1 - 0

13.4%

More chances

1.5+

74%

Chance

2.5+

52%

Chance

3.5+

37%

Chance

BTTS

64%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#Afragolese #RealAcerrana #SerieDGironeH #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Afragolese = 2.45 (league 1.41), Real Acerrana = 0.45 (league 0.97)

		Real Acerrana
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Afragolese	0	5.5%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	13.4%	6.1%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	16.5%	7.5%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	13.5%	6.1%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	8.2%	3.7%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	4.0%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.6% · Draw 13.5% · Away win 5.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Afragolese	Real Acerrana
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	3