Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Luigi Moccia
Expected Goals
2.44 (league 1.42)
0.46 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.3% | 13.7% | 5.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.4%
1 - 0
13.4%
3 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Acerrana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Afragolese | 0 | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.4% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.3% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Afragolese | Real Acerrana |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 20% |
| Attack | 31% | 31% |
| Defense | 77% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Afragolese | Real Acerrana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 58% | 31% | 44% | 25% | 0% | 12% |
| Draws | 17% | 31% | 24% | 17% | 23% | 20% |
| Loses | 25% | 38% | 32% | 58% | 77% | 68% |
Form: Afragolese: LLDWWWLWWWLWDWDLLLWDWWDDL • Real Acerrana: LDDLDLLLLLLLLWDLLDWLLLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Afragolese | Real Acerrana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 16 | 34 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 13 | 16 | 29 | 18 | 30 | 48 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Afragolese | Real Acerrana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 64% | 40% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 40% | 8% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 12% | 4% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 24% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Afragolese | Real Acerrana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
Penalties
| Metric | Afragolese | Real Acerrana |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Afragolese | Real Acerrana |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 8 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-4 | 4-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Afragolese | Real Acerrana |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 69.0% | 31.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Afragolese or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Afragolese = 2.44 (league 1.42), Real Acerrana = 0.46 (league 0.96)
| Real Acerrana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Afragolese | 0 | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.4% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.3% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.3% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 5.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1