AC Palermo vs Messina

Serie D - Girone I — Italy

Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Centro Universitario Sportivo

Match Finished

AC Palermo

4 - 0

Messina

Expected Goals

1.23 (league 1.30) 1.23 (league 1.08)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
36.4%	27.3%	36.0%

best score tips

1 - 1

12.9%

1 - 0

10.6%

0 - 1

10.5%

Score & goals probability table

		Messina
		0	1	2	3	4	5
AC Palermo	0	8.6%	10.5%	6.4%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
	1	10.6%	12.9%	7.9%	3.2%	1.0%	0.2%
	2	6.5%	8.0%	4.9%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%
	3	2.7%	3.3%	2.0%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%
	4	0.8%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	AC Palermo	Messina
Played	5	5
Form	47%	53%
Attack	80%	20%
Defense	10%	90%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	2 \| 0.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	1 \| 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%

FT probability

2.5+

49%

FT probability

3.5+

35%

FT probability

BTTS

68%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	AC Palermo			Messina
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	9	8	17	9	8	17
Wins	56%	38%	47%	44%	38%	41%
Draws	33%	25%	29%	33%	50%	41%
Loses	11%	38%	24%	22%	13%	18%

Form: AC Palermo: DWDDWLDWWLWWLWDLW • Messina: DWLWDDWDWLDWLDWWD

League goals

Metric	AC Palermo			Messina
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	18	11	29	6	9	15
GF avg	2.0	1.4	1.7	0.7	1.1	0.9
GA total	11	12	23	5	6	11
GA avg	1.2	1.5	1.4	0.6	0.8	0.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	AC Palermo		Messina
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	94%	76%	59%	53%
1.5	65%	47%	24%	12%
2.5	12%	12%	6%	0%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	AC Palermo			Messina
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	2	4	5	3	8
Failed to score	0	1	1	4	3	7

Penalties

Metric	AC Palermo	Messina
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	0

Streaks

Metric	AC Palermo	Messina
Wins	2	2
Draws	2	2
Losses	1	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	2-3	2-1	1-3
Biggest losses	1-2	3-1	0-2	1-0
Goals For	3	3	2	3
Goals Against	2	3	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	AC Palermo	Messina
Form	47%	53%
Att	80%	20%
Def	10%	90%
Poisson Distribution	47%	53%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	46.8%	53.2%

Advice: Double chance : AC Palermo or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Betfair

Draw3.30 @ Superbet

Away4.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365

Under 2.51.51 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Superbet

No1.65 @ Unibet

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • AC Palermo vs Messina

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

AC Palermo

Messina

Serie D - Girone I • Italy • Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Centro Universitario Sportivo

Expected goals

1.23

AC Palermo xG League Avg: 1.30

Total

2.46

1.23

Messina xG League Avg: 1.08

1x2 probabilities

Home

36.4%

Draw

27.3%

Away

36.0%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 1

12.9%

Tip

1 - 0

10.6%

Tip

0 - 1

10.5%

More chances

1.5+

69%

Chance

2.5+

49%

Chance

3.5+

35%

Chance

BTTS

68%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#AcPalermo #Messina #SerieDGironeI #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): AC Palermo = 1.23 (league 1.30), Messina = 1.23 (league 1.08)

		Messina
		0	1	2	3	4	5
AC Palermo	0	8.6%	10.5%	6.4%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
	1	10.6%	12.9%	7.9%	3.2%	1.0%	0.2%
	2	6.5%	8.0%	4.9%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%
	3	2.7%	3.3%	2.0%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%
	4	0.8%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.4% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 36.0%

vtt 2 , vtd1

Metric	AC Palermo	Messina
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	0