Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Centro Universitario Sportivo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.33) 1.21 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.9% 27.6% 36.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
10.8%
1 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Messina
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Palermo 0 9.0% 10.8% 6.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.8% 13.0% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.8% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.6% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAC PalermoMessina
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack80%20%
Defense10%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AC Palermo Messina
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins56%38%47%44%38%41%
Draws33%25%29%33%50%41%
Loses11%38%24%22%13%18%

Form: AC Palermo: DWDDWLDWWLWWLWDLW • Messina: DWLWDDWDWLDWLDWWD

League goals

Metric AC Palermo Messina
HATHAT
GF total1811296915
GF avg2.01.41.70.71.10.9
GA total1112235611
GA avg1.21.51.40.60.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAC PalermoMessina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%76%59%53%
1.565%47%24%12%
2.512%12%6%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAC PalermoMessina
HATHAT
Clean sheets224538
Failed to score011437

Penalties

MetricAC PalermoMessina
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricAC PalermoMessina
Wins22
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-32-11-3
Biggest losses1-23-10-21-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricAC PalermoMessina
Form47%53%
Att80%20%
Def10%90%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : AC Palermo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Betfair
Draw3.30 @ Superbet
Away4.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.51 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Superbet
No1.65 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AC Palermo = 1.20 (league 1.33), Messina = 1.21 (league 1.09)

Messina
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Palermo 0 9.0% 10.8% 6.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.8% 13.0% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.8% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.6% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.9% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 36.3%

vtt 2 , vtd1