Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 16:30 •
Estadio Nuevo Municipal
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.34)
0.49 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.1% | 28.1% | 13.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.3%
0 - 0
15.7%
2 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Porcuna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arenas Armilla | 0 | 15.7% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.3% | 10.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.5% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Atlético Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 86% | 100% |
| Defense | 57% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Atlético Porcuna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 60% | 33% | 47% | 60% | 11% | 37% |
| Draws | 20% | 44% | 32% | 10% | 11% | 11% |
| Loses | 20% | 22% | 21% | 30% | 78% | 53% |
Form: Arenas Armilla: WWWWLLDLDWWDWDLWDWD • Atlético Porcuna: WLLLWLWLWLLDLLWLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Atlético Porcuna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 7 | 20 | 17 | 6 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arenas Armilla | Atlético Porcuna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 47% | 58% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 11% | 32% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 0% | 26% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Atlético Porcuna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Atlético Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Atlético Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | 3-4 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Atlético Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 55.8% | 44.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Arenas Armilla or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Arenas Armilla = 1.36 (league 1.34), Atlético Porcuna = 0.49 (league 0.99)
| Atlético Porcuna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arenas Armilla | 0 | 15.7% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.3% | 10.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.5% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.1% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 13.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1