Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 11:00 •
ASCO Arena
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.48)
0.47 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4% | 23.7% | 10.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.1%
2 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Difai Ağsu | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Səbail | 0 | 12.4% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.1% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.3% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Səbail | Difai Ağsu |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 36% | 73% |
| Defense | 64% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Səbail | Difai Ağsu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 80% | 25% | 56% | 0% | 20% | 11% |
| Draws | 0% | 75% | 33% | 0% | 40% | 22% |
| Loses | 20% | 0% | 11% | 100% | 40% | 67% |
Form: Səbail: WWWDWDWDL • Difai Ağsu: DLLLLWLDL
League goals
| Metric | Səbail | Difai Ağsu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Səbail | Difai Ağsu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 33% | 78% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 22% | 22% | 78% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Səbail | Difai Ağsu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Səbail | Difai Ağsu |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Səbail | Difai Ağsu |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | — | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Səbail | Difai Ağsu |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 62.2% | 37.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Səbail or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.33 @ Unibet
Draw5.00 @ Betfair
Away11.00 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.22 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Səbail = 1.62 (league 1.48), Difai Ağsu = 0.47 (league 1.20)
| Difai Ağsu | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Səbail | 0 | 12.4% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.1% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.3% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.4% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 10.3%
vtt 2 , vtd1
