Tusker vs Nairobi United

FKF Premier League — Kenya

Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 11:00 • Ulinzi Sports Complex

Match Finished

Tusker

0 - 1

Nairobi United

Expected Goals

0.64 (league 1.00) 0.91 (league 0.88)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
24.4%	35.5%	40.1%

best score tips

0 - 0

21.2%

0 - 1

19.3%

1 - 0

13.6%

Score & goals probability table

		Nairobi United
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Tusker	0	21.2%	19.3%	8.8%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
	1	13.6%	12.4%	5.6%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
	2	4.3%	4.0%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	0.9%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Tusker	Nairobi United
Played	5	5
Form	60%	47%
Attack	50%	80%
Defense	70%	30%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	8 \| 1.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%

FT probability

2.5+

38%

FT probability

3.5+

27%

FT probability

BTTS

57%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Tusker			Nairobi United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	6	7	13	5	4	9
Wins	33%	57%	46%	40%	50%	44%
Draws	33%	14%	23%	20%	0%	11%
Loses	33%	29%	31%	40%	50%	44%

Form: Tusker: LLDDWWDWLLWWW • Nairobi United: WLWLWWLLD

League goals

Metric	Tusker			Nairobi United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	5	7	12	8	3	11
GF avg	0.8	1.0	0.9	1.6	0.8	1.2
GA total	6	4	10	8	3	11
GA avg	1.0	0.6	0.8	1.6	0.8	1.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Tusker		Nairobi United
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	77%	54%	56%	78%
1.5	15%	23%	33%	33%
2.5	0%	0%	22%	11%
3.5	0%	0%	11%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Tusker			Nairobi United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	4	6	0	2	2
Failed to score	2	1	3	2	2	4

Penalties

Metric	Tusker	Nairobi United
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	1

Streaks

Metric	Tusker	Nairobi United
Wins	2	2
Draws	2	0
Losses	2	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	0-2	4-2	0-2
Biggest losses	0-2	2-1	0-3	2-0
Goals For	2	2	4	2
Goals Against	2	2	3	2

Model comparison

Metric	Tusker	Nairobi United
Form	56%	44%
Att	38%	62%
Def	70%	30%
Poisson Distribution	48%	52%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	50%	50%
Total	52.0%	48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Tusker or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ 1xBet

Draw2.88 @ Bet365

Away3.82 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ Superbet

No1.55 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Tusker vs Nairobi United

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Tusker

Nairobi United

FKF Premier League • Kenya • Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 11:00 • Ulinzi Sports Complex

Expected goals

0.64

Tusker xG League Avg: 1.00

Total

1.55

0.91

Nairobi United xG League Avg: 0.88

1x2 probabilities

Home

24.4%

Draw

35.5%

Away

40.1%

Best score tips

Tip

0 - 0

21.2%

Tip

0 - 1

19.3%

Tip

1 - 0

13.6%

More chances

1.5+

54%

Chance

2.5+

38%

Chance

3.5+

27%

Chance

BTTS

57%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#Tusker #NairobiUnited #FkfPremierLeague #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Tusker = 0.64 (league 1.00), Nairobi United = 0.91 (league 0.88)

		Nairobi United
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Tusker	0	21.2%	19.3%	8.8%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
	1	13.6%	12.4%	5.6%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
	2	4.3%	4.0%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	0.9%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.4% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 40.1%

vtt 2 , vtd1

Metric	Tusker	Nairobi United
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	1