Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 11:00 • Ulinzi Sports Complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 0.99) 0.92 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.5% 35.3% 40.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.9%
0 - 1
19.2%
1 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Nairobi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tusker 0 20.9% 19.2% 8.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.5% 12.4% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.4% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTuskerNairobi United
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack50%80%
Defense70%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tusker Nairobi United
HATHAT
Played6713549
Wins33%57%46%40%50%44%
Draws33%14%23%20%0%11%
Loses33%29%31%40%50%44%

Form: Tusker: LLDDWWDWLLWWW • Nairobi United: WLWLWWLLD

League goals

Metric Tusker Nairobi United
HATHAT
GF total57128311
GF avg0.81.00.91.60.81.2
GA total64108311
GA avg1.00.60.81.60.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTuskerNairobi United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%54%56%78%
1.515%23%33%33%
2.50%0%22%11%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTuskerNairobi United
HATHAT
Clean sheets246022
Failed to score213224

Penalties

MetricTuskerNairobi United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricTuskerNairobi United
Wins22
Draws20
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-24-20-2
Biggest losses0-22-10-32-0
Goals For2242
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricTuskerNairobi United
Form56%44%
Att38%62%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Tusker or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ 1xBet
Draw2.88 @ Bet365
Away3.82 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ Superbet
No1.55 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tusker = 0.65 (league 0.99), Nairobi United = 0.92 (league 0.87)

Nairobi United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tusker 0 20.9% 19.2% 8.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.5% 12.4% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.4% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.5% · Draw 35.3% · Away win 40.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1