Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.58)
0.52 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1% | 22.4% | 10.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.3%
2 - 0
15.8%
0 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Ternana W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Parma W | 0 | 10.6% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.3% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.8% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Parma W | Ternana W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 40% |
| Attack | 12% | 28% |
| Defense | 80% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Parma W | Ternana W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 13% | 0% | 6% | 22% | 13% | 18% |
| Draws | 63% | 44% | 53% | 33% | 13% | 24% |
| Loses | 25% | 56% | 41% | 44% | 75% | 59% |
Form: Parma W: LWDDLDDLLDLDLLDDD • Ternana W: LLLLLWDLLWLLLWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Parma W | Ternana W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 15 | 17 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Parma W | Ternana W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 35% | 71% | 59% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 24% | 24% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 24% | 12% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Parma W | Ternana W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Parma W | Ternana W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Parma W | Ternana W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-0 | 2-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Parma W | Ternana W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 49.6% | 50.4% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ternana W
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.87 @ Unibet
Draw3.53 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ BetVictor
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.15 @ BetVictor
Under 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.97 @ Superbet
No2.00 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Parma W = 1.73 (league 1.58), Ternana W = 0.52 (league 1.35)
| Ternana W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Parma W | 0 | 10.6% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.3% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.8% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.1% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 10.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1
