Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 15:30 •
Tony Bezzina Stadium
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.28)
0.67 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.0% | 26.1% | 16.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.2%
2 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Birkirkara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marsaxlokk | 0 | 11.3% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.1% | 11.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.9% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marsaxlokk | Birkirkara |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 0% |
| Attack | 60% | 20% |
| Defense | 40% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marsaxlokk | Birkirkara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 9 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 15 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 50% | 18% | 27% |
| Draws | 17% | 33% | 27% | 25% | 27% | 27% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 25% | 55% | 47% |
Form: Marsaxlokk: WWLWLLDWDWDLWLD • Birkirkara: DDLDWWDWLWLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Marsaxlokk | Birkirkara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 11 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 2 | 18 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marsaxlokk | Birkirkara | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 60% | 53% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 27% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marsaxlokk | Birkirkara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marsaxlokk | Birkirkara |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marsaxlokk | Birkirkara |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marsaxlokk | Birkirkara |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 56.2% | 43.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Marsaxlokk or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ Betano
Away3.14 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.50 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ Unibet
No1.83 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Marsaxlokk
vs
Birkirkara
Expected goals
1.50
Marsaxlokk xG
League Avg: 1.28
Total
2.17
0.67
Birkirkara xG
League Avg: 1.20
1x2 probabilities
Home
57.0%
Draw
26.1%
Away
16.4%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
17.2%
Tip
2 - 0
12.9%
Tip
1 - 1
11.4%
More chances
1.5+
64%
Chance
2.5+
45%
Chance
3.5+
32%
Chance
BTTS
56%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Marsaxlokk = 1.51 (league 1.27), Birkirkara = 0.67 (league 1.20)
| Birkirkara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marsaxlokk | 0 | 11.3% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.1% | 11.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.9% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.1% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 16.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1