Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 00:00 •
Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.24)
0.48 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3% | 21.5% | 9.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.6%
2 - 0
16.6%
0 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Sporting San Jose | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| LD Alajuelense | 0 | 10.4% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.5% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | LD Alajuelense | Sporting San Jose |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 50% | 25% |
| Defense | 67% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | LD Alajuelense | Sporting San Jose | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 64% | 50% | 57% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Draws | 29% | 36% | 32% | 42% | 33% | 38% |
| Loses | 7% | 14% | 11% | 42% | 50% | 46% |
Form: LD Alajuelense: WWLDWLWWDDWWWWDWWWDWDWDDLWWD • Sporting San Jose: LLLDLWLDDLWDDWLLDDLLLDWD
League goals
| Metric | LD Alajuelense | Sporting San Jose | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 22 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 11 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | LD Alajuelense | Sporting San Jose | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 54% | 46% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 18% | 21% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 0% | 8% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | LD Alajuelense | Sporting San Jose | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | LD Alajuelense | Sporting San Jose |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | LD Alajuelense | Sporting San Jose |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | LD Alajuelense | Sporting San Jose |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 73.8% | 26.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : LD Alajuelense or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away6.60 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.27 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.37 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): LD Alajuelense = 1.79 (league 1.24), Sporting San Jose = 0.48 (league 1.00)
| Sporting San Jose | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| LD Alajuelense | 0 | 10.4% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.5% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.3% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 9.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1
