Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 11:30 •
Pitchaya Stadium
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.65)
0.47 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.5% | 29.0% | 13.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.2%
0 - 0
17.0%
2 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Esan Pattaya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | 0 | 17.0% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.5% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Esan Pattaya |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 90% | 80% |
| Defense | 0% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Esan Pattaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 15 | 28 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 62% | 40% | 50% | 40% | 14% | 28% |
| Draws | 31% | 0% | 14% | 27% | 36% | 31% |
| Loses | 8% | 60% | 36% | 33% | 50% | 41% |
Form: Nong Bua Pitchaya: LDWLWLWWDDLLWLWWWLWWWDWWLLLW • Esan Pattaya: DDWDLDWLDLDLWWLLLDLWLWLLDWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Esan Pattaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 21 | 44 | 27 | 9 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 12 | 32 | 44 | 20 | 17 | 37 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Esan Pattaya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 79% | 69% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 39% | 38% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 21% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 7% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Esan Pattaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Esan Pattaya |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Esan Pattaya |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Esan Pattaya |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Esan Pattaya
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.83 @ 1xBet
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away4.14 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.32 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nong Bua Pitchaya = 1.31 (league 1.65), Esan Pattaya = 0.47 (league 1.16)
| Esan Pattaya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | 0 | 17.0% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.5% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 13.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1
