Thu, Mar 12 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio Guillermo Laza
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.00)
0.52 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.2% | 45.0% | 26.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
34.6%
1 - 0
18.8%
0 - 1
18.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Gimnasia M. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportivo Riestra | 0 | 34.6% | 18.0% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.7% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Deportivo Riestra | Gimnasia M. |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 10% | 40% |
| Defense | 80% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
44%
FT probability
2.5+
31%
FT probability
3.5+
22%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
4-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Deportivo Riestra | Gimnasia M. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Draws | 75% | 50% | 63% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 50% | 38% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Deportivo Riestra: LLDLDDDD • Gimnasia M.: WLLWLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Deportivo Riestra | Gimnasia M. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Deportivo Riestra | Gimnasia M. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 25% | 63% | 63% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Deportivo Riestra | Gimnasia M. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Deportivo Riestra | Gimnasia M. |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Deportivo Riestra | Gimnasia M. |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Deportivo Riestra | Gimnasia M. |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 41.7% | 58.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gimnasia M. and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.19 @ 188Bet
Draw2.85 @ 188Bet
Away5.30 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.54.17 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.32 @ Superbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes3.04 @ Pinnacle
No1.44 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Riestra = 0.54 (league 1.00), Gimnasia M. = 0.52 (league 0.77)
| Gimnasia M. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportivo Riestra | 0 | 34.6% | 18.0% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.7% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.2% · Draw 45.0% · Away win 26.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1
