Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Eva Perón
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.00)
1.82 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.3% | 22.9% | 48.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Racing Club | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sarmiento Junin | 0 | 4.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Racing Club |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 73% |
| Attack | 20% | 40% |
| Defense | 70% | 90% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
4-8
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Racing Club | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Wins | 75% | 0% | 38% | 33% | 40% | 38% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 20% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 100% | 63% | 33% | 40% | 38% |
Form: Sarmiento Junin: LWLWLLLW • Racing Club: LLLWWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Racing Club | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sarmiento Junin | Racing Club | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 75% | 88% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 25% | 38% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Racing Club | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Racing Club |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Racing Club |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Racing Club |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 41.7% | 58.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Racing Club
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.85 @ Unibet
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away2.32 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.90 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.50 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.28 @ Pinnacle
No1.70 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sarmiento Junin = 1.30 (league 1.00), Racing Club = 1.82 (league 0.77)
| Racing Club | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sarmiento Junin | 0 | 4.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 48.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1
