Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 20:30 •
Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.00)
1.25 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.2% | 27.3% | 37.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
10.7%
1 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Tigre | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | 0 | 8.6% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletico Tucuman | Tigre |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 31% | 31% |
| Defense | 38% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletico Tucuman | Tigre | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 17% | 43% | 20% | 33% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 43% | 40% | 42% |
| Loses | 17% | 100% | 58% | 14% | 40% | 25% |
Form: Atletico Tucuman: LDDLWLLLDLWL • Tigre: WDWWWDLDDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Atletico Tucuman | Tigre | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletico Tucuman | Tigre | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 8% | 58% | 33% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 17% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletico Tucuman | Tigre | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletico Tucuman | Tigre |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletico Tucuman | Tigre |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | — | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletico Tucuman | Tigre |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 52.8% | 47.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Atletico Tucuman or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.63 @ Unibet
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away3.32 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.49 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.30 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atletico Tucuman = 1.20 (league 1.00), Tigre = 1.25 (league 0.77)
| Tigre | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | 0 | 8.6% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.1% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 37.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1
