Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:45 •
Oriel Park
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.34)
0.90 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8% | 18.7% | 13.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Waterford | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dundalk | 0 | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dundalk | Waterford |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 13% |
| Attack | 43% | 21% |
| Defense | 29% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dundalk | Waterford | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 100% | 75% | 80% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 20% | 33% | 100% | 60% |
Form: Dundalk: DDDLD • Waterford: DLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Dundalk | Waterford | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 1 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dundalk | Waterford | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 100% | 40% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dundalk | Waterford | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dundalk | Waterford |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dundalk | Waterford |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | 0-1 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dundalk | Waterford |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Dundalk or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.96 @ 188Bet
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away4.12 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.78 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.92 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Dundalk
vs
Waterford
Expected goals
2.23
Dundalk xG
League Avg: 1.34
Total
3.14
0.90
Waterford xG
League Avg: 1.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
64.8%
Draw
18.7%
Away
13.8%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
10.8%
Tip
2 - 1
9.8%
Tip
1 - 0
9.7%
More chances
1.5+
81%
Chance
2.5+
57%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
76%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Dundalk = 2.23 (league 1.35), Waterford = 0.91 (league 1.10)
| Waterford | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dundalk | 0 | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.7% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 13.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1