Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.98 (league 1.66) 0.53 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.8% 10.0% 4.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.3%
3 - 0
13.2%
4 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Puebla W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca W 0 3.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.9% 4.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.3% 7.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.2% 7.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.8% 5.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.8% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPachuca WPuebla W
Played55
Form60%7%
Attack82%27%
Defense36%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pachuca W Puebla W
HATHAT
Played11112291019
Wins64%82%73%0%10%5%
Draws18%9%14%0%30%16%
Loses18%9%14%100%60%79%

Form: Pachuca W: WWDLWDWWWWWWDWWWWWLWWL • Puebla W: LLLLLLDLLWDLLLDLLLL

League goals

Metric Pachuca W Puebla W
HATHAT
GF total294069358
GF avg2.63.63.10.30.50.4
GA total151227291948
GA avg1.41.11.23.21.92.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePachuca WPuebla W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%73%42%95%
1.582%36%0%68%
2.559%5%0%42%
3.532%5%0%26%
4.527%5%0%16%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPachuca WPuebla W
HATHAT
Clean sheets336011
Failed to score1126511

Penalties

MetricPachuca WPuebla W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPachuca WPuebla W
Wins61
Draws11
Losses16

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-9—0-1
Biggest losses0-51-00-64-0
Goals For5911
Goals Against5264

Model comparison

MetricPachuca WPuebla W
Form90%10%
Att75%25%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h80%20%
Goals72%28%
Total77.8%22.2%

Advice: Winner : Pachuca W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.05 @ William Hill
Draw22.39 @ Pinnacle
Away56.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.16 @ Unibet
Under 2.55.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Betfair
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pachuca W = 2.98 (league 1.66), Puebla W = 0.53 (league 1.32)

Puebla W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca W 0 3.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.9% 4.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.3% 7.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.2% 7.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.8% 5.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.8% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.8% · Draw 10.0% · Away win 4.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1