Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Expected Goals
2.99 (league 1.65)
0.53 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.9% | 9.8% | 4.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.2%
3 - 0
13.2%
4 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Puebla W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pachuca W | 0 | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.2% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pachuca W | Puebla W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 7% |
| Attack | 82% | 27% |
| Defense | 36% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pachuca W | Puebla W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 64% | 82% | 73% | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| Draws | 18% | 9% | 14% | 0% | 30% | 16% |
| Loses | 18% | 9% | 14% | 100% | 60% | 79% |
Form: Pachuca W: WWDLWDWWWWWWDWWWWWLWWL • Puebla W: LLLLLLDLLWDLLLDLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Pachuca W | Puebla W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 40 | 69 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 15 | 12 | 27 | 29 | 19 | 48 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pachuca W | Puebla W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 73% | 42% | 95% |
| 1.5 | 82% | 36% | 0% | 68% |
| 2.5 | 59% | 5% | 0% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 32% | 5% | 0% | 26% |
| 4.5 | 27% | 5% | 0% | 16% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pachuca W | Puebla W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pachuca W | Puebla W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pachuca W | Puebla W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-9 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 1-0 | 0-6 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pachuca W | Puebla W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 90% | 10% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 63% | 37% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 72% | 28% |
| Total | 77.8% | 22.2% |
Advice: Winner : Pachuca W
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.05 @ William Hill
Draw22.39 @ Pinnacle
Away56.00 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.16 @ Unibet
Under 2.55.50 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.40 @ Betfair
No1.62 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Pachuca W
vs
Puebla W
Expected goals
2.99
Pachuca W xG
League Avg: 1.65
Total
3.52
0.53
Puebla W xG
League Avg: 1.32
1x2 probabilities
Home
77.9%
Draw
9.8%
Away
4.0%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
13.2%
Tip
3 - 0
13.2%
Tip
4 - 0
9.9%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
68%
Chance
3.5+
49%
Chance
BTTS
74%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Pachuca W = 2.99 (league 1.65), Puebla W = 0.53 (league 1.32)
| Puebla W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pachuca W | 0 | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.2% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.9% · Draw 9.8% · Away win 4.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1