Wed, Apr 8 2026 • 14:00 • Gradski stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.46 (league 1.85) 0.27 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.8% 11.6% 2.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
19.8%
3 - 0
16.3%
1 - 0
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
Levski Karlovo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nesebar 0 6.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.1% 4.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.8% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.3% 4.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNesebarLevski Karlovo
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack86%50%
Defense79%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nesebar Levski Karlovo
HATHAT
Played131326141327
Wins92%62%77%79%31%56%
Draws8%23%15%7%23%15%
Loses0%15%8%14%46%30%

Form: Nesebar: LWWWWWWWWWWWLWWDWWWDWDWWDW • Levski Karlovo: WLWDLWLWWLLWWWWDWLWWWDLDWLW

League goals

Metric Nesebar Levski Karlovo
HATHAT
GF total502272291342
GF avg3.81.72.82.11.01.6
GA total41014181634
GA avg0.30.80.51.31.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNesebarLevski Karlovo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%46%78%70%
1.573%8%48%33%
2.550%0%22%15%
3.527%0%7%4%
4.515%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNesebarLevski Karlovo
HATHAT
Clean sheets10414448
Failed to score134246

Penalties

MetricNesebarLevski Karlovo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNesebarLevski Karlovo
Wins114
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins9-00-44-00-2
Biggest losses2-10-53-1
Goals For9442
Goals Against2253

Model comparison

MetricNesebarLevski Karlovo
Form61%39%
Att63%37%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h100%0%
Goals90%10%
Total75.8%24.2%

Advice: Winner : Nesebar

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Nesebar
vs
Levski Karlovo
Third League - Southeast • Bulgaria • Wed, Apr 8 2026 • 14:00 • Gradski stadion
Expected goals
2.46
Nesebar xG League Avg: 1.85
Total
2.73
0.27
Levski Karlovo xG League Avg: 1.13
1x2 probabilities
Home
81.8%
Draw
11.6%
Away
2.7%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
19.8%
Tip
3 - 0
16.3%
Tip
1 - 0
16.1%
More chances
1.5+
89%
Chance
2.5+
63%
Chance
3.5+
45%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
Exp.
#Nesebar #LevskiKarlovo #ThirdLeagueSoutheast #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Nesebar = 2.46 (league 1.85), Levski Karlovo = 0.27 (league 1.13)

Levski Karlovo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nesebar 0 6.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.1% 4.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.8% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.3% 4.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.8% · Draw 11.6% · Away win 2.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1