Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.45)
1.07 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.3% | 26.3% | 28.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
11.6%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Le Messager Ngozi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ngozi City | 0 | 8.1% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ngozi City | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 13% |
| Attack | 40% | 30% |
| Defense | 20% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ngozi City | Le Messager Ngozi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 25% | 29% | 27% | 14% | 13% | 13% |
| Draws | 25% | 43% | 33% | 43% | 25% | 33% |
| Loses | 50% | 29% | 40% | 43% | 63% | 53% |
Form: Ngozi City: DLLWDDWDWLLLWDL • Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLDLLWLDDLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Ngozi City | Le Messager Ngozi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ngozi City | Le Messager Ngozi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 67% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 40% | 13% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ngozi City | Le Messager Ngozi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ngozi City | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ngozi City | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-3 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ngozi City | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Ngozi City or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ngozi City = 1.45 (league 1.45), Le Messager Ngozi = 1.07 (league 1.21)
| Le Messager Ngozi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ngozi City | 0 | 8.1% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 28.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1