Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.44) 1.03 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.4% 26.4% 26.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
12.2%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Le Messager Ngozi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ngozi City 0 8.4% 8.7% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.2% 12.5% 6.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNgozi CityLe Messager Ngozi
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack33%25%
Defense33%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ngozi City Le Messager Ngozi
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins25%29%27%14%13%13%
Draws25%43%33%43%25%33%
Loses50%29%40%43%63%53%

Form: Ngozi City: DLLWDDWDWLLLWDL • Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLDLLWLDDLLLD

League goals

Metric Ngozi City Le Messager Ngozi
HATHAT
GF total95144812
GF avg1.10.70.90.61.00.8
GA total1071761521
GA avg1.31.01.10.91.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNgozi CityLe Messager Ngozi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%67%80%
1.513%40%13%33%
2.513%13%0%20%
3.57%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNgozi CityLe Messager Ngozi
HATHAT
Clean sheets336303
Failed to score246415

Penalties

MetricNgozi CityLe Messager Ngozi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNgozi CityLe Messager Ngozi
Wins11
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-31-01-2
Biggest losses0-33-02-34-1
Goals For4322
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricNgozi CityLe Messager Ngozi
Form67%33%
Att57%43%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals46%54%
Total53.5%46.5%

Advice: Double chance : Ngozi City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Ngozi City
vs
Le Messager Ngozi
Ligue A • Burundi • Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Expected goals
1.45
Ngozi City xG League Avg: 1.44
Total
2.47
1.03
Le Messager Ngozi xG League Avg: 1.27
1x2 probabilities
Home
46.4%
Draw
26.4%
Away
26.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.5%
Tip
1 - 0
12.2%
Tip
2 - 1
9.1%
More chances
1.5+
68%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
Exp.
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Expected goals (λ): Ngozi City = 1.45 (league 1.44), Le Messager Ngozi = 1.03 (league 1.27)

Le Messager Ngozi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ngozi City 0 8.4% 8.7% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.2% 12.5% 6.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.4% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 26.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1