Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 10:00 •
Toyota Stadium
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.32)
4.44 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3% | 3.6% | 66.5% |
best score tips
0 - 4
11.2%
0 - 3
10.1%
0 - 5
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nagoya Grampus | 0 | 0.7% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 80% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 33% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 80% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
Form: Nagoya Grampus: WWLLWL • Sanfrecce Hiroshima: WWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 67% | 100% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 33% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-5 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 10% | 90% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 38.8% | 61.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.40 @ BetVictor
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away2.22 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.01 @ SBO
Under 2.51.95 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Nagoya Grampus
vs
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Expected goals
0.53
Nagoya Grampus xG
League Avg: 1.32
Total
4.97
4.44
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
League Avg: 1.13
1x2 probabilities
Home
1.3%
Draw
3.6%
Away
66.5%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 4
11.2%
Tip
0 - 3
10.1%
Tip
0 - 5
10.0%
More chances
1.5+
87%
Chance
2.5+
61%
Chance
3.5+
44%
Chance
BTTS
79%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 1
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Nagoya Grampus = 0.53 (league 1.31), Sanfrecce Hiroshima = 4.41 (league 1.13)
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nagoya Grampus | 0 | 0.7% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.3% · Draw 3.7% · Away win 66.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1