Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 21:10 •
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.12)
0.75 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.6% | 21.8% | 14.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
2 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Jaguares | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alianza Valledupar | 0 | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.7% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alianza Valledupar | Jaguares |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 0% |
| Attack | 23% | 15% |
| Defense | 31% | 15% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alianza Valledupar | Jaguares | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 27% |
| Draws | 75% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
| Loses | 25% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 80% | 64% |
Form: Alianza Valledupar: LLDLDDLLDD • Jaguares: WLDWLWLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Alianza Valledupar | Jaguares | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 6 | 13 | 19 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alianza Valledupar | Jaguares | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 64% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 40% | 18% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 30% | 9% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alianza Valledupar | Jaguares | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alianza Valledupar | Jaguares |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alianza Valledupar | Jaguares |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alianza Valledupar | Jaguares |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 62.4% | 37.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Alianza Valledupar or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.88 @ 188Bet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away5.25 @ BetVictor
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.39 @ Pinnacle
No1.66 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Alianza Valledupar
vs
Jaguares
Expected goals
1.86
Alianza Valledupar xG
League Avg: 1.12
Total
2.61
0.75
Jaguares xG
League Avg: 0.80
1x2 probabilities
Home
62.6%
Draw
21.8%
Away
14.4%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
13.6%
Tip
2 - 0
12.7%
Tip
1 - 1
10.2%
More chances
1.5+
75%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
72%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 6
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Alianza Valledupar = 1.86 (league 1.12), Jaguares = 0.75 (league 0.80)
| Jaguares | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alianza Valledupar | 0 | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.7% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.5% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 14.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1