Wed, Apr 1 2026 • 21:10 •
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.12)
1.88 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.1% | 22.5% | 50.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportivo Pasto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alianza Valledupar | 0 | 4.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alianza Valledupar | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 24% | 53% |
| Defense | 82% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alianza Valledupar | Deportivo Pasto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 15% | 63% | 50% | 57% |
| Draws | 50% | 29% | 38% | 25% | 17% | 21% |
| Loses | 17% | 71% | 46% | 13% | 33% | 21% |
Form: Alianza Valledupar: LLDLDDLLDDWWL • Deportivo Pasto: WWWLDWDDWWLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Alianza Valledupar | Deportivo Pasto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 6 | 14 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alianza Valledupar | Deportivo Pasto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 54% | 85% | 86% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 31% | 57% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 23% | 7% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alianza Valledupar | Deportivo Pasto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alianza Valledupar | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alianza Valledupar | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alianza Valledupar | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Deportivo Pasto
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.68 @ 188Bet
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away3.24 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.47 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.22 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Alianza Valledupar
vs
Deportivo Pasto
Expected goals
1.29
Alianza Valledupar xG
League Avg: 1.12
Total
3.17
1.88
Deportivo Pasto xG
League Avg: 0.80
1x2 probabilities
Home
26.1%
Draw
22.5%
Away
50.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
10.2%
Tip
1 - 2
9.6%
Tip
0 - 1
7.9%
More chances
1.5+
70%
Chance
2.5+
49%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Alianza Valledupar = 1.29 (league 1.12), Deportivo Pasto = 1.88 (league 0.80)
| Deportivo Pasto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alianza Valledupar | 0 | 4.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.0% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 50.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1