Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 20:00 •
Signal Iduna Park
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.82)
0.95 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.1% | 23.1% | 19.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.6%
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Atalanta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 6.5% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.4% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Borussia Dortmund | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 28% | 32% |
| Defense | 60% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Borussia Dortmund | Atalanta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 38% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 25% | 50% | 38% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
Form: Borussia Dortmund: DWWLWDLL • Atalanta: LWDWWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Borussia Dortmund | Atalanta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 9 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 12 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Borussia Dortmund | Atalanta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 88% | 63% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 75% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 25% | 13% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Borussia Dortmund | Atalanta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Borussia Dortmund | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Borussia Dortmund | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-4 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Borussia Dortmund | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Borussia Dortmund or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.17 @ 1xBet
Draw3.62 @ 1xBet
Away3.58 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.82 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.15 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.35 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Borussia Dortmund
vs
Atalanta
Expected goals
1.79
Borussia Dortmund xG
League Avg: 1.82
Total
2.73
0.95
Atalanta xG
League Avg: 1.37
1x2 probabilities
Home
56.1%
Draw
23.1%
Away
19.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
11.6%
Tip
1 - 1
11.0%
Tip
2 - 0
10.4%
More chances
1.5+
94%
Chance
2.5+
66%
Chance
3.5+
47%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 2
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Borussia Dortmund = 1.79 (league 1.82), Atalanta = 0.95 (league 1.37)
| Atalanta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 6.5% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.4% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.1% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 19.7%
vtt 14 , vtd1