Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 20:00 • Signal Iduna Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.84) 0.95 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.6% 23.3% 20.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Dortmund 0 6.6% 6.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.7% 11.1% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.8% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.1% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBorussia DortmundAtalanta
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack28%32%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Borussia Dortmund Atalanta
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%50%50%50%
Draws25%25%25%25%0%13%
Loses25%50%38%25%50%38%

Form: Borussia Dortmund: DWWLWDLL • Atalanta: LWDWWWLL

League goals

Metric Borussia Dortmund Atalanta
HATHAT
GF total109196410
GF avg2.52.32.41.51.01.3
GA total512175510
GA avg1.33.02.11.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBorussia DortmundAtalanta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%63%63%
1.563%75%50%25%
2.550%25%13%25%
3.550%25%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBorussia DortmundAtalanta
HATHAT
Clean sheets101123
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricBorussia DortmundAtalanta
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBorussia DortmundAtalanta
Wins23
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-42-10-3
Biggest losses0-24-12-34-0
Goals For4423
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricBorussia DortmundAtalanta
Form31%69%
Att47%53%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h80%20%
Goals57%43%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Borussia Dortmund or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ 1xBet
Draw3.62 @ 1xBet
Away3.58 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.15 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.35 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Borussia Dortmund = 1.76 (league 1.84), Atalanta = 0.95 (league 1.37)

Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Dortmund 0 6.6% 6.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.7% 11.1% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.8% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.1% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.6% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 20.0%

vtt 14 , vtd1