Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 13:00 •
Daugavas stadions
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.59)
0.98 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.7% | 34.3% | 42.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
19.9%
0 - 1
19.6%
1 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| FS Jelgava | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FK Liepaja | 0 | 19.9% | 19.6% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FK Liepaja | FS Jelgava |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 25% | 19% |
| Defense | 63% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FK Liepaja | FS Jelgava | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 40% | 25% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 20% |
| Loses | 67% | 50% | 60% | 75% | 0% | 60% |
Form: FK Liepaja: WLWLL • FS Jelgava: WDLLL
League goals
| Metric | FK Liepaja | FS Jelgava | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FK Liepaja | FS Jelgava | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 40% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FK Liepaja | FS Jelgava | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | FK Liepaja | FS Jelgava |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | FK Liepaja | FS Jelgava |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-8 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FK Liepaja | FS Jelgava |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 65.5% | 34.5% |
Advice: Double chance : FK Liepaja or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.77 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ 188Bet
Away4.50 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
FK Liepaja
vs
FS Jelgava
Expected goals
0.63
FK Liepaja xG
League Avg: 1.59
Total
1.61
0.98
FS Jelgava xG
League Avg: 1.32
1x2 probabilities
Home
22.7%
Draw
34.3%
Away
42.9%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
19.9%
Tip
0 - 1
19.6%
Tip
1 - 0
12.5%
More chances
1.5+
66%
Chance
2.5+
47%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
74%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): FK Liepaja = 0.63 (league 1.59), FS Jelgava = 0.98 (league 1.32)
| FS Jelgava | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FK Liepaja | 0 | 19.9% | 19.6% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.7% · Draw 34.3% · Away win 42.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1