Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 15:00 •
Slokas Stadions
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.59)
2.80 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.8% | 12.0% | 75.7% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.7%
0 - 3
11.9%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Riga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Super Nova | 0 | 3.2% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Super Nova | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 39% | 100% |
| Defense | 72% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 18 | 3.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
87%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Super Nova | Riga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 75% | 60% | 50% | 67% | 60% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 20% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
Form: Super Nova: LDWWW • Riga: LWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Super Nova | Riga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Super Nova | Riga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 80% | 100% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 80% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 60% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Super Nova | Riga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Super Nova | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Super Nova | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 4-2 | 0-8 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Super Nova | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 28% | 72% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 32.2% | 67.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Riga
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home16.00 @ 10Bet
Draw6.06 @ Pinnacle
Away1.24 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.72 @ BetVictor
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.60 @ Marathonbet
No1.54 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Super Nova
vs
Riga
Expected goals
0.63
Super Nova xG
League Avg: 1.59
Total
3.43
2.80
Riga xG
League Avg: 1.32
1x2 probabilities
Home
5.8%
Draw
12.0%
Away
75.7%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 2
12.7%
Tip
0 - 3
11.9%
Tip
0 - 1
9.1%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
72%
Chance
3.5+
51%
Chance
BTTS
87%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Super Nova = 0.63 (league 1.59), Riga = 2.80 (league 1.32)
| Riga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Super Nova | 0 | 3.2% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.8% · Draw 12.0% · Away win 75.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1