Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 15:00 •
Slokas Stadions
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.59)
1.89 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.5% | 21.7% | 61.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.6%
0 - 2
11.9%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| FK Liepaja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Super Nova | 0 | 6.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Super Nova | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 50% | 42% |
| Defense | 33% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Super Nova | FK Liepaja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 60% | 43% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 50% | 40% | 43% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
Form: Super Nova: LDWWWLL • FK Liepaja: WLWLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Super Nova | FK Liepaja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Super Nova | FK Liepaja | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 86% | 71% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 43% | 29% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Super Nova | FK Liepaja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Super Nova | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Super Nova | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Super Nova | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 52.2% | 47.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Super Nova or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Super Nova
vs
FK Liepaja
Expected goals
0.82
Super Nova xG
League Avg: 1.59
Total
2.71
1.89
FK Liepaja xG
League Avg: 1.32
1x2 probabilities
Home
15.5%
Draw
21.7%
Away
61.5%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
12.6%
Tip
0 - 2
11.9%
Tip
1 - 1
10.3%
More chances
1.5+
77%
Chance
2.5+
54%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
77%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Super Nova = 0.82 (league 1.59), FK Liepaja = 1.89 (league 1.32)
| FK Liepaja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Super Nova | 0 | 6.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.5% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 61.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1