Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 13:00 • Lugazi FC Stadium
Match Finished
0 - 2

NEC

Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.36) 0.83 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.2% 31.6% 28.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.9%
0 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
NEC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugazi 0 15.0% 12.5% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.9% 13.3% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.5% 7.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLugaziNEC
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack40%60%
Defense40%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lugazi NEC
HATHAT
Played810189918
Wins50%0%22%44%22%33%
Draws38%30%33%56%44%50%
Loses13%70%44%0%33%17%

Form: Lugazi: WLDDLWDLLDLLDWDLWL • NEC: DDLWDLWDDLDWDWDWDW

League goals

Metric Lugazi NEC
HATHAT
GF total1321513720
GF avg1.60.20.81.40.81.1
GA total717248816
GA avg0.91.71.30.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLugaziNEC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%67%83%61%
1.517%44%17%22%
2.511%17%11%6%
3.56%6%0%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLugaziNEC
HATHAT
Clean sheets336437
Failed to score2810123

Penalties

MetricLugaziNEC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLugaziNEC
Wins11
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-2—3-10-1
Biggest losses1-24-0—2-1
Goals For5131
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricLugaziNEC
Form39%61%
Att40%60%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h33%67%
Goals25%75%
Total36.3%63.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or NEC and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.65 @ Betano
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ Marathonbet
No1.57 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.38 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lugazi = 1.06 (league 1.36), NEC = 0.83 (league 0.86)

NEC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugazi 0 15.0% 12.5% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.9% 13.3% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.5% 7.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.2% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 28.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1