Lugazi vs NEC - footywow

Premier League — Uganda

Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 13:00 • Lugazi FC Stadium

Match Finished

Lugazi

0 - 2

NEC

Expected Goals

1.07 (league 1.34) 0.85 (league 0.84)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
40.1%	31.3%	28.5%

best score tips

1 - 0

15.6%

0 - 0

14.5%

1 - 1

13.3%

Score & goals probability table

		NEC
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Lugazi	0	14.5%	12.4%	5.3%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%
	1	15.6%	13.3%	5.7%	1.6%	0.3%	0.1%
	2	8.4%	7.2%	3.1%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	3.0%	2.6%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.8%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Lugazi	NEC
Played	5	5
Form	47%	73%
Attack	40%	60%
Defense	40%	80%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	2 \| 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%

FT probability

2.5+

42%

FT probability

3.5+

30%

FT probability

BTTS

62%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Lugazi			NEC
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	8	10	18	9	9	18
Wins	50%	0%	22%	44%	22%	33%
Draws	38%	30%	33%	56%	44%	50%
Loses	13%	70%	44%	0%	33%	17%

Form: Lugazi: WLDDLWDLLDLLDWDLWL • NEC: DDLWDLWDDLDWDWDWDW

League goals

Metric	Lugazi			NEC
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	13	2	15	13	7	20
GF avg	1.6	0.2	0.8	1.4	0.8	1.1
GA total	7	17	24	8	8	16
GA avg	0.9	1.7	1.3	0.9	0.9	0.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Lugazi		NEC
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	44%	67%	83%	61%
1.5	17%	44%	17%	22%
2.5	11%	17%	11%	6%
3.5	6%	6%	0%	0%
4.5	6%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Lugazi			NEC
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	3	6	4	3	7
Failed to score	2	8	10	1	2	3

Penalties

Metric	Lugazi	NEC
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	2

Streaks

Metric	Lugazi	NEC
Wins	1	1
Draws	2	2
Losses	2	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	5-2	—	3-1	0-1
Biggest losses	1-2	4-0	—	2-1
Goals For	5	1	3	1
Goals Against	2	4	3	2

Model comparison

Metric	Lugazi	NEC
Form	39%	61%
Att	40%	60%
Def	25%	75%
Poisson Distribution	56%	44%
H2h	33%	67%
Goals	25%	75%
Total	36.3%	63.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or NEC and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.65 @ Betano

Draw3.00 @ Bet365

Away2.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ Marathonbet

No1.57 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Under 2.51.38 @ Unibet

📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Lugazi vs NEC

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Lugazi

NEC

Premier League • Uganda • Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 13:00 • Lugazi FC Stadium

Expected goals

1.07

Lugazi xG League Avg: 1.34

Total

1.93

0.85

NEC xG League Avg: 0.84

1x2 probabilities

Home

40.1%

Draw

31.3%

Away

28.5%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 0

15.6%

Tip

0 - 0

14.5%

Tip

1 - 1

13.3%

More chances

1.5+

59%

Chance

2.5+

42%

Chance

3.5+

30%

Chance

BTTS

62%

Chance

🟨 Cards

0 - 0

Exp.

#Lugazi #Nec #PremierLeague #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Lugazi = 1.08 (league 1.34), NEC = 0.86 (league 0.84)

		NEC
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Lugazi	0	14.5%	12.4%	5.3%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%
	1	15.6%	13.3%	5.7%	1.6%	0.3%	0.1%
	2	8.4%	7.2%	3.1%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	3.0%	2.6%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.8%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.1% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 28.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Lugazi	NEC
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	2