Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 05:00 •
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.28)
0.41 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.5% | 20.7% | 7.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.7%
2 - 0
17.7%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Oita Trinita | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sagan Tosu | 0 | 11.0% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.8% | 8.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.7% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.6% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sagan Tosu | Oita Trinita |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 83% | 83% |
| Defense | 50% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sagan Tosu | Oita Trinita | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 67% | 40% | 50% | 80% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 33% | 60% | 50% | 20% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Sagan Tosu: LWLLLWWW • Oita Trinita: WWWLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Sagan Tosu | Oita Trinita | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sagan Tosu | Oita Trinita | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 63% | 88% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 38% | 50% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sagan Tosu | Oita Trinita | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sagan Tosu | Oita Trinita |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sagan Tosu | Oita Trinita |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sagan Tosu | Oita Trinita |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 77% | 23% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 64.0% | 36.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Sagan Tosu or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.25 @ Bet365
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away3.72 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.76 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Sagan Tosu
vs
Oita Trinita
Expected goals
1.80
Sagan Tosu xG
League Avg: 1.28
Total
2.21
0.41
Oita Trinita xG
League Avg: 1.19
1x2 probabilities
Home
70.5%
Draw
20.7%
Away
7.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
19.7%
Tip
2 - 0
17.7%
Tip
0 - 0
10.9%
More chances
1.5+
70%
Chance
2.5+
49%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 2
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Sagan Tosu = 1.79 (league 1.28), Oita Trinita = 0.41 (league 1.19)
| Oita Trinita | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sagan Tosu | 0 | 11.0% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.8% | 8.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.7% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.6% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.4% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 7.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1