Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 12:45 •
Estadio Luis Franzini
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.14)
1.06 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.8% | 23.5% | 22.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Racing Montevideo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Albion FC | 0 | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Albion FC | Racing Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 44% |
| Attack | 36% | 64% |
| Defense | 82% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 7 | 2.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
4-7
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Albion FC | Racing Montevideo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Albion FC: LWD • Racing Montevideo: LDW
League goals
| Metric | Albion FC | Racing Montevideo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Albion FC | Racing Montevideo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 33% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 67% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Albion FC | Racing Montevideo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Albion FC | Racing Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Albion FC | Racing Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 2-4 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Albion FC | Racing Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Albion FC or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.24 @ Pinnacle
Away2.65 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.06 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Albion FC = 1.76 (league 1.14), Racing Montevideo = 1.06 (league 0.94)
| Racing Montevideo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Albion FC | 0 | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.9% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 22.7%
vtt 3 , vtd1
