Mon, Apr 20 2026 • 22:00 •
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.63)
0.78 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.5% | 29.8% | 23.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
0 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Mineiro W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santos W | 0 | 13.5% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 12.9% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santos W | Atlético Mineiro W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 47% | 33% |
| Defense | 60% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santos W | Atlético Mineiro W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 100% | 33% | 67% |
Form: Santos W: WDWLDD • Atlético Mineiro W: LDLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Santos W | Atlético Mineiro W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santos W | Atlético Mineiro W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 83% | 50% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 17% | 17% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santos W | Atlético Mineiro W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santos W | Atlético Mineiro W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santos W | Atlético Mineiro W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | — | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santos W | Atlético Mineiro W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 60.5% | 39.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Santos W or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.53 @ Betano
Draw4.20 @ Betfair
Away7.00 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.96 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Santos W
vs
Atlético Mineiro W
Expected goals
1.22
Santos W xG
League Avg: 1.63
Total
2.01
0.78
Atlético Mineiro W xG
League Avg: 1.17
1x2 probabilities
Home
46.5%
Draw
29.8%
Away
23.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
16.5%
Tip
0 - 0
13.5%
Tip
1 - 1
12.9%
More chances
1.5+
69%
Chance
2.5+
49%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Santos W = 1.22 (league 1.63), Atlético Mineiro W = 0.78 (league 1.17)
| Atlético Mineiro W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santos W | 0 | 13.5% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 12.9% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.5% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 23.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1