Wed, Apr 1 2026 • 18:45 •
Centenary Stadium
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.63)
1.52 (league 1.66)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.4% | 25.8% | 49.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.4%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Marsa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zurrieq | 0 | 8.3% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zurrieq | Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 53% | 42% |
| Defense | 58% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zurrieq | Marsa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 11 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| Wins | 13% | 45% | 32% | 0% | 38% | 16% |
| Draws | 38% | 0% | 16% | 36% | 25% | 32% |
| Loses | 50% | 55% | 53% | 64% | 38% | 53% |
Form: Zurrieq: WLLLWLWLWLDLDLLWLWD • Marsa: LWLDDLLWLLLDLDLDLDW
League goals
| Metric | Zurrieq | Marsa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 17 | 30 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 18 | 14 | 32 | 27 | 8 | 35 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zurrieq | Marsa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 79% | 84% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 42% | 42% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 32% | 5% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zurrieq | Marsa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zurrieq | Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zurrieq | Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 3-1 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zurrieq | Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 52.7% | 47.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Marsa
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.65 @ Betano
Draw4.86 @ Pinnacle
Away2.65 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.55 @ Betano
Under 2.52.68 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.40 @ William Hill
No2.74 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Zurrieq
vs
Marsa
Expected goals
0.98
Zurrieq xG
League Avg: 1.63
Total
2.51
1.52
Marsa xG
League Avg: 1.66
1x2 probabilities
Home
24.4%
Draw
25.8%
Away
49.3%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
12.4%
Tip
1 - 1
12.2%
Tip
0 - 2
9.5%
More chances
1.5+
89%
Chance
2.5+
62%
Chance
3.5+
44%
Chance
BTTS
79%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Zurrieq = 0.97 (league 1.65), Marsa = 1.52 (league 1.67)
| Marsa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zurrieq | 0 | 8.3% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.2% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 49.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1