Wed, Mar 25 2026 • 01:30 •
Estadio Ruben Deras
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.20)
2.83 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.9% | 17.0% | 54.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.3%
1 - 3
6.9%
2 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Génesis | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Choloma | 0 | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Choloma | Génesis |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 24% | 29% |
| Defense | 53% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Choloma | Génesis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 32 |
| Wins | 25% | 6% | 16% | 24% | 13% | 19% |
| Draws | 25% | 19% | 22% | 35% | 27% | 31% |
| Loses | 50% | 75% | 63% | 41% | 60% | 50% |
Form: Atlético Choloma: LDLLWLLLWLLWLDLLLLLLLDDDLLWLLDDW • Génesis: LWLLLWLDDDLLLDWWLLDDLLDDLDWLWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Choloma | Génesis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 12 | 31 | 20 | 20 | 40 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 37 | 35 | 72 | 29 | 26 | 55 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Choloma | Génesis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 94% | 72% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 56% | 31% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 41% | 9% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 19% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 6% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Choloma | Génesis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Choloma | Génesis |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Choloma | Génesis |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-2 | 6-2 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-7 | 6-2 | 0-5 | 4-3 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Choloma | Génesis |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Génesis
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.85 @ Betano
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away4.06 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.70 @ William Hill
No2.10 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Atlético Choloma
vs
Génesis
Expected goals
1.70
Atlético Choloma xG
League Avg: 1.20
Total
4.53
2.83
Génesis xG
League Avg: 1.06
1x2 probabilities
Home
20.9%
Draw
17.0%
Away
54.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
7.3%
Tip
1 - 3
6.9%
Tip
2 - 2
6.2%
More chances
1.5+
91%
Chance
2.5+
64%
Chance
3.5+
46%
Chance
BTTS
77%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Choloma = 1.70 (league 1.20), Génesis = 2.83 (league 1.06)
| Génesis | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Choloma | 0 | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.9% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 54.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1