First League — Russia
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 08:30 • Yekaterinburg Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.22) 0.94 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.6% 25.7% 23.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
12.1%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal Tula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ural 0 8.4% 7.9% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.9% 12.1% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.3% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.1% 4.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUralArsenal Tula
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack22%44%
Defense56%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ural Arsenal Tula
HATHAT
Played101323121123
Wins60%46%52%17%36%26%
Draws30%23%26%58%36%48%
Loses10%31%22%25%27%26%

Form: Ural: WWWWLWWDDWDLLWWWWWLDDLD • Arsenal Tula: DDWDDWLWLLDLDDDLWWWDDDL

League goals

Metric Ural Arsenal Tula
HATHAT
GF total171431151530
GF avg1.71.11.31.31.41.3
GA total71320151227
GA avg0.71.00.91.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUralArsenal Tula
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%57%83%87%
1.539%17%39%30%
2.513%4%9%0%
3.54%4%0%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUralArsenal Tula
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510213
Failed to score145224

Penalties

MetricUralArsenal Tula
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricUralArsenal Tula
Wins53
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-10-3
Biggest losses1-25-11-22-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against2522

Model comparison

MetricUralArsenal Tula
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ural or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ 1xBet
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away4.99 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.77 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ural = 1.54 (league 1.22), Arsenal Tula = 0.94 (league 1.04)

Arsenal Tula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ural 0 8.4% 7.9% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.9% 12.1% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.3% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.1% 4.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.6% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 23.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1