Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 00:30 •
Gran Parque Central
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.35)
1.07 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.4% | 27.4% | 29.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
12.1%
0 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Independiente Medellin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Juventud | 0 | 9.1% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Juventud | Independiente Medellin |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 2 |
| Form | 58% | 67% |
| Attack | 78% | 22% |
| Defense | 44% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Juventud | Independiente Medellin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Juventud: LWDW • Independiente Medellin: WD
League goals
| Metric | Juventud | Independiente Medellin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Juventud | Independiente Medellin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Juventud | Independiente Medellin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Juventud | Independiente Medellin |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Juventud | Independiente Medellin |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 3-5 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Juventud | Independiente Medellin |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 17% | 83% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 53.0% | 47.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Juventud or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.75 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away2.22 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.42 @ Betano
Under 2.51.61 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Juventud
vs
Independiente Medellin
Expected goals
1.33
Juventud xG
League Avg: 1.35
Total
2.40
1.07
Independiente Medellin xG
League Avg: 0.94
1x2 probabilities
Home
42.4%
Draw
27.4%
Away
29.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.9%
Tip
1 - 0
12.1%
Tip
0 - 1
9.7%
More chances
1.5+
58%
Chance
2.5+
41%
Chance
3.5+
29%
Chance
BTTS
56%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Juventud = 1.33 (league 1.35), Independiente Medellin = 1.07 (league 0.94)
| Independiente Medellin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Juventud | 0 | 9.1% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.4% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 29.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1